Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
12/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia

Match Stats

Ball possession
36%64%
Total shots
85
Shots on target
51
Corner kicks
34
Yellow cards
33
Total shots
85
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
34
Corner kicks
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', Mariani E. 🟨,
  • 24', Murru N. 🟨,
  • 28', Hraiech S. 🟨,
  • 38', Di Renzo G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Di Renzo G. , Nicastro F. ,
  • 46', Mariani E. , Durmush M. ,
  • 55', La Mantia A. , Ghirardello T. ,
  • 55', Murru N. , Tentardini A. ,
  • 63', Berengo N. , Pucciarelli M. ,
  • 63', Barranco G. , Giovannini R. ,
  • 67', Hraiech S. , Djankpata H. ,
  • 74', Minta A. , Di Massimo A. ,
  • 74', Varone I. , Fazzi N. ,
  • 84', Paganini L. , Franchetti Rosada L. ,
  • 89', Pucciarelli M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Di Massimo A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 0, Ghirardello T. ,

Chances of winning


Gubbio
38.3%
Draw
33.5%
Vis Pesaro
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 29.5% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 28.5% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Vis Pesaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gubbio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Gubbio - Vis Pesaro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.17)
    2.73
    (3.12)
    3.23
    (3.27)
    9.5%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Gubbio - Vis Pesaro?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gubbio (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 2.
    • Gubbio is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Vis Pesaro is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Gubbio will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:12. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gubbio won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gubbio - Vis Pesaro were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Vis Pesaro - Gubbio 1:1
    11.03.2025 Vis Pesaro - Gubbio 1:1
    29.10.2024 Gubbio - Vis Pesaro 1:3
    02.02.2024 Vis Pesaro - Gubbio 1:3
    23.09.2023 Gubbio - Vis Pesaro 1:0
    Latest results of Gubbio
    08.02.2026 Gubbio - Campobasso 1:0
    31.01.2026 Bra - Gubbio 1:0
    25.01.2026 Gubbio - Forlì 2:0
    18.01.2026 Perugia - Gubbio 0:1
    11.01.2026 Sambenedettese - Gubbio 0:0
    Latest results of Vis Pesaro
    08.02.2026 Vis Pesaro - Forlì 1:1
    31.01.2026 Pianese - Vis Pesaro 1:2
    25.01.2026 Livorno - Vis Pesaro 2:1
    16.01.2026 Vis Pesaro - Arezzo 0:3
    03.01.2026 Vis Pesaro - Pineto 0:2
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo34228457:223574
    2Ascoli34228462:224074
    3Ravenna35217749:301970
    4Campobasso341510947:371053
    5Juventus U23341491144:41351
    6Pineto3413111041:39250
    7Vis Pesaro3411131036:32446
    8Pianese341016834:33146
    9Ternana3413111041:36545
    10Gubbio3410141029:32-344
    11Livorno351171737:51-1440
    12Guidonia348141228:32-438
    13Carpi349101532:45-1337
    14Perugia348131337:42-537
    15Forli34991639:51-1236
    16Torres346171131:42-1135
    17Sambenedettese346131525:34-931
    18Bra346131534:50-1631
    19Pontedera343112026:58-3220
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation