Result
3:0
16/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Vysshaya Liga - Round 18
- Referee: Naumov E. (Blr)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45', 1 - 0, Rakhimov A. ⚽, Camara Y. (A),
- 45+2', Girs D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 64', Gorbachik V. ↓, Teverov R. ↑,
- 64', Rakhimov A. ↓, Roziev R. ↑,
- 65', Ermakovich K. ↓, Zhvirblya A. ↑,
- 70', Sidor I. 🟨,
- 72', Camara Y. 🟨,
- 79', 2 - 0, Leonovich K. ⚽,
- 83', Camara Y. ↓, Kolyadko M. ↑,
- 86', Lisovskiy R. ↓, Chervyakov Z. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 0, Leonovich K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Naftan
27.2% | Draw
27.8% | Vitebsk
44.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naftan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Vitebsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naftan than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitebsk than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Naftan - Vitebsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.41 ↓
(3.49) |
3.33 ↓
(3.4) |
2.06 ↓
(2.14) |
7.8%
(4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naftan won 1.
- Naftan is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vitebsk's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Vitebsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Vitebsk might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Naftan won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Naftan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Naftan won against Vitebsk?
Naftan has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitebsk won against Naftan?
Vitebsk has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Naftan - Vitebsk were as follows:
05.04.2025
Vitebsk
-
Naftan
2:0
19.10.2024
Naftan
-
Vitebsk
0:4
24.05.2024
Vitebsk
-
Naftan
2:0
Latest results of Vitebsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | ML Vitebsk | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 38:15 | 23 | 52 |
| 2 | Din. Minsk | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 42:24 | 18 | 48 |
| 3 | Slavia Mozyr | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 38:23 | 15 | 44 |
| 4 | Zhodino | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 37:23 | 14 | 41 |
| 5 | Dynamo Brest | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 36:23 | 13 | 41 |
| 6 | FC Minsk | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 38:35 | 3 | 41 |
| 7 | Isloch | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 40:22 | 18 | 39 |
| 8 | Neman | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 30:21 | 9 | 32 |
| 9 | BATE | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:39 | -10 | 30 |
| 10 | FC Gomel | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 24:27 | -3 | 29 |
| 11 | Vitebsk | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 27 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 24:29 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Naftan | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Smorgon | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17:33 | -16 | 20 |
| 15 | Slutsk | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 11:36 | -25 | 13 |
| 16 | Molodechno | 24 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 16:55 | -39 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga
