FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie FC Eindhoven - Vitesse
Result
0:4
17/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 11
  • Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.610.37
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
80% (330/412)86% (461/536)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.610.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.371.00
Total shots
119
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
72
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
189
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
80% (330/412)86% (461/536)
Long passes
54% (36/67)55% (38/69)
Passes in final third
54% (51/95)64% (69/107)
Crosses
26% (5/19)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.57
Throw-ins
2315
Fouls
1313
Tackles
60% (9/15)54% (7/13)
Duels won
5344
Clearances
2130
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
1.000.37
Goals prevented
-3.000.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', Blummel S. 🟨,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Tahaui A. , Zumberi V. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Brondeel J. , Borgmans J. ,
  • 55', 0 - 2, Schikora M. , Marschalk M. (A),
  • 60', Hoogewerf D. 🟨,
  • 62', Bannis N. , Pinto J. ,
  • 62', Dorenbosch D. , Lukoki Mateso E. ,
  • 63', 0 - 3, Pinto J. , Tahaui A. (A),
  • 69', Marschalk M. , Moustafa A. ,
  • 69', Hoogewerf D. , Zonneveld N. ,
  • 73', Haddaoui Z. , van Veen K. ,
  • 73', Blummel S. , Essers C. ,
  • 77', van Veen K. 🟨,
  • 81', Moustafa A. 🟨,
  • 84', Tahaui A. , Ouallil Y. ,
  • 84', Tahaui A. , Ouallil Y. ,
  • 84', Lukoki Mateso E. 🟨,
  • 87', 0 - 4, Zonneveld N. , Huth E. (A),
  • 90+1', Simons S. , Munsters N. ,

Chances of winning


FC Eindhoven
40.2%
Draw
26.3%
Vitesse
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 22.5% 23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4% 22.4% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • FC Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FC Eindhoven's form might have worsened.
  • Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vitesse's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FC Eindhoven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitesse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • FC Eindhoven - Vitesse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (1.72)
    3.63
    (4.1)
    2.85
    (3.86)
    5.6%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for FC Eindhoven - Vitesse?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Vitesse will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vitesse: 26.9%73.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. FC Eindhoven (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Vitesse (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 20).
    • FC Eindhoven is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Vitesse is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • FC Eindhoven may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, FC Eindhoven won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, FC Eindhoven won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between FC Eindhoven - Vitesse were as follows:
    07.03.2025 FC Eindhoven - Vitesse 3:3
    30.08.2024 Vitesse - FC Eindhoven 1:1
    Latest results of FC Eindhoven
    11.10.2025 Emmen - FC Eindhoven 6:0
    30.09.2025 FC Eindhoven - Dordrecht 2:2
    19.09.2025 FC Eindhoven - FC Oss 3:4
    Latest results of Vitesse
    10.10.2025 Almere City - Vitesse 2:2
    06.10.2025 Vitesse - Den Bosch N/A
    03.10.2025 Vitesse - Jong Utrecht 2:0
    30.09.2025 Emmen - Vitesse 2:4
    27.09.2025 Vitesse - Willem II 1:2
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag1091030:72328
    2Cambuur1283124:131127
    3Jong PSV1163223:15821
    4Roda1163221:14721
    5Willem II1162315:15020
    6Den Bosch1152422:25-317
    7Dordrecht1144315:14116
    8Helmond1151515:16-116
    9Venlo1150618:17115
    10Waalwijk1143418:17115
    11De Graafschap1134416:17-113
    12FC Emmen1241721:25-413
    13Oss1133517:23-612
    14Almere City1132622:18411
    15Jong Utrecht1132615:21-611
    16Maastricht1132610:17-711
    17Eindhoven FC123279:26-1711
    18Jong AZ1122714:23-98
    19Jong Ajax1114618:24-67
    20Vitesse942318:1442

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