Result
3:2
28/04/2024 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 31
- Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 2.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 368 | 370 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 280 | 277 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 78 | 98 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 43 | 61 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', Duarte D. 🟨,
- 17', Voet S. 🟨,
- 22', 1 - 0, Aaronson P. ⚽, Buitink T. (A),
- 29', Markelo N. 🟨,
- 35', Van Zwam G. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Cordoba I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Duarte D. ↓, Rosier L. ↑,
- 46', Markelo N. ↓, Da Cruz A. ↑,
- 48', Hendriks R. 🟨,
- 50', 1 - 2, Lonwijk J. (Pen),
- 60', Buitink T. ↓, van Ginkel M. ↑,
- 60', Hadj Moussa A. ↓, Boutrah A. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 2, van Ginkel M. ⚽, Boutrah A. (A),
- 76', 3 - 2, Aaronson P. ⚽, Kozlowski K. (A),
- 78', Cordoba I. ↓, Peterson K. ↑,
- 79', Halilovic A. ↓, Oratmangoen R. ↑,
- 81', de Regt G. ↓, Cornelisse E. ↑,
- 81', Van Zwam G. 🟨,
- 84', Mica Pinto 🟨,
- 86', Tielemans M. ↓, Arcus C. ↑,
- 86', Voet S. ↓, Braaf J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vitesse
27.5% | Draw
25.8% | Fortuna Sittard
46.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+3%)
Vitesse - Fortuna Sittard Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.47 ↓
(3.59) |
3.7 ↓
(3.95) |
2.03 ↑
(1.9) |
5%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Vitesse - Fortuna Sittard?
Users Predictions:
Fortuna Sittard will win
(96 of 109 users predict this - 88.07%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.98% – 94.16%. The data is statistically significant. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 11).
- Vitesse is Relegated to Eerste Divisie
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitesse won 1.
- Vitesse has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Fortuna Sittard is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Vitesse could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Fortuna Sittard will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Vitesse won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-18.
- Including matches at home between the teams Vitesse won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitesse won against Fortuna Sittard?
Vitesse has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against Vitesse?
Fortuna Sittard has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitesse - Fortuna Sittard were as follows:
02.12.2023
Fortuna Sittard
-
Vitesse
3:1
07.05.2023
Fortuna Sittard
-
Vitesse
2:0
09.10.2022
Vitesse
-
Fortuna Sittard
1:2
Latest results of Vitesse
Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV ✔ | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 84:40 | 44 | 74 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 62:41 | 21 | 55 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 72:48 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Twente | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 51:32 | 19 | 53 |
| 5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 57:37 | 20 | 51 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 52:45 | 7 | 48 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 49:36 | 13 | 44 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 53:50 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Groningen | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42:37 | 5 | 42 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 35:49 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 50:45 | 5 | 36 |
| 12 | Sittard | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 44:55 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 40:60 | -20 | 34 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:50 | -19 | 28 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:51 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | Telstar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 39:52 | -13 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30:51 | -21 | 25 |
| 18 | Heracles | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 34:77 | -43 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSV is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
