Result
 
                    1:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        26/01/2024 at  14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 19
- Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Netherlands | ESPN | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Zwolle 44.4%
 | Draw 26.4%
 | Vitesse 29.2%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zwolle's form might have worsened.Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zwolle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-5%)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Zwolle - Vitesse Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.14 ↑ (1.89)
 | 3.61 ↓ (3.68)
 | 3.25 ↓ (3.87)
 | 5.3% (6%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Zwolle - Vitesse?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Zwolle will win 
                    (25 of 31 users predict this - 80.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.74% – 94.56%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Zwolle won 1. 
- Zwolle is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0). 
- Recent matches Vitesse is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). 
- Vitesse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. 
- Recently Vitesse have a series of home games. 
- Zwolle will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Zwolle: Druijf F.
(Injury)
Thomas R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Vitesse: Oroz D.
(Yellow Cards)
Visser A.
(Head Injury)
- There are questionable in Zwolle: Buurmeester Z.
(Ankle Injury)
Lagsir S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Vitesse: Fofana F.
(Knee Injury)
Jonathans M.
(Knee Injury)
 
- Last 23 head-to-head matches Zwolle won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 23-44. 
- Including matches at home between the teams Zwolle won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15-21.                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Zwolle won against Vitesse?
                    
                    
                        
                            Zwolle has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Vitesse won against Zwolle?
                    
                    
                        
                             Vitesse has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Zwolle - Vitesse were as follows:
                                                        
                                27.10.2023 
                                Vitesse 
                                - 
                                Zwolle 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Vitesse                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Feyenoord | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 27:9 | 18 | 25 | 
| 2 | PSV | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 30:14 | 16 | 25 | 
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 21 | 
| 4 | Ajax | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 20:14 | 6 | 19 | 
| 5 | Groningen | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 18 | 
| 6 | Sparta Rotterdam | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:22 | -8 | 16 | 
| 7 | Nijmegen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 27:19 | 8 | 15 | 
| 8 | Twente | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 14 | 
| 9 | Utrecht | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:15 | 4 | 13 | 
| 10 | G.A. Eagles | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 13 | 
| 11 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:18 | 0 | 13 | 
| 12 | Sittard | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 13 | 
| 13 | FC Volendam | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 10 | 
| 14 | NAC Breda | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 9 | 
| 15 | Zwolle | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:19 | -8 | 9 | 
| 16 | Excelsior | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8:19 | -11 | 9 | 
| 17 | Telstar | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | -7 | 7 | 
| 18 | Heracles | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7:30 | -23 | 3 | 
      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
      Eredivisie (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie