Result
2:3
31/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Pernambucano - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Alan Pires (Own goal),
- 16', Auremir ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
- 25', Alan Pires 🟨,
- 30', Juninho 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 1, Pedro Maycon ⚽,
- 45+1', Leo Gaucho ↓, Claudio Caca-Rato ↑,
- 45+3', 2 - 1, Natanel ⚽,
- 45+5', 2 - 2, Juninho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Natanel ↓, Paulo Ricardo ↑,
- 59', Elivelton 🟨,
- 62', Guilherme Lucena 🟨,
- 72', Juninho ↓, Ramon ↑,
- 79', 2 - 3, Rosa G. ⚽,
- 81', Yuri ↓, Leo Jance ↑,
- 81', Felipe Saraiva ↓, Kevyn Santos ↑,
- 83', Leo Jance 🟨,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vitória das Tabocas
9.1% | Draw
20.3% | Náutico Capibaribe
70.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória das Tabocas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória das Tabocas than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Vitória das Tabocas - Náutico Capibaribe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
10.04 ↑
(8.71) |
4.52 ↓
(4.68) |
1.3 ↓
(1.31) |
8.9%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Náutico is Qualified for Pernambucano (Play Offs Semi~finals)
- Recent form of Vitória das Tabocas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Náutico is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Náutico is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória das Tabocas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.6:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vitória das Tabocas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória das Tabocas won against Náutico Capibaribe?
Vitória das Tabocas has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Capibaribe won against Vitória das Tabocas?
Náutico Capibaribe has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória das Tabocas - Náutico Capibaribe were as follows:
Latest results of Vitória das Tabocas
Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Nautico | Bye | |
| 2 | Santa Cruz | Decisao | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Sport Recife | Bye | |
| 4 | Retro | Maguary | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Nautico | Santa Cruz | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Sport Recife | Retro | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Nautico | Sport Recife | 3 : 3 |
