Vitória de Guimarães vs Oliveirense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
81:86
28/01/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Taca da Liga

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6364
Field goals made
3028
Field goals %
47.62%43.75%
2-point field goals attempts
3936
2-point field goals made
2219
2-point field goals %
56.41%52.78%
3-point field goals attempts
2428
3-point field goals made
89
3-point field goals %
33.33%32.14%
Free throws attempts
2026
Free throws made
1321
Free throws %
65%80.8%
Offensive rebounds
1013
Defensive rebounds
2628
Total rebounds
3641
Assists
2015
Blocks
30
Turnovers
1615
Steals
116
Personal fouls
2117

Chances of winning


Vitória de Guimarães
31.8%
Oliveirense
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.6% 63.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 59.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitória de Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória de Guimarães than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitória de Guimarães, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oliveirense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Vitória de Guimarães - Oliveirense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.89
    (2.55)

    1.35
    (1.47)
    8.9%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 168.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Oliveirense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Oliveirense has had a series of home games.
    • Oliveirense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 1507:1755. (average 75.4:87.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guimarães won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 703:785. (average 78.1:87.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória de Guimarães - Oliveirense were as follows:
    10.01.2026 Oliveirense - Vitória de Guimarães 84:76
    11.01.2025 Vitória de Guimarães - Oliveirense 74:92
    25.10.2024 Oliveirense - Vitória de Guimarães 93:76
    27.04.2024 Vitória de Guimarães - Oliveirense 77:94
    23.12.2023 Oliveirense - Vitória de Guimarães 80:100
    Latest results of Vitória de Guimarães
    Latest results of Oliveirense
    24.01.2026 Oliveirense - Benfica 92:95
    17.01.2026 Oliveirense - CAQ Queluz 74:63
    03.01.2026 Imortal - Oliveirense 90:97
    28.12.2025 Oliveirense - Sporting Lisbon 76:86
    Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWLPts
    1Benfica110105:722
    2Ovarense110102:812
    3Braga11086:712
    4Oliveirense10171:861
    5Esgueira10181:1021
    6Vitoria10172:1051


    Group B
    PlWLPts
    1Sporting CP110108:882
    2CA Queluz11076:672
    3Vasco Da Gama10167:761
    4FC Porto10188:1081
    5Galitos Barreiro0000:00
    6Imortal0000:00

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