Vitória de Sernache vs SC Lusitânia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
22/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 19

Match Stats

Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
63
Corner kicks
36
Total shots
86
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
23
Corner kicks
36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, ,
  • 19', 1 - 1, ,
  • 29', 2 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Vitória de Sernache
73.6%
Draw
19.2%
SC Lusitânia
7.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.4% 19.8% 10.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitória de Sernache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Vitória de Sernache - SC Lusitânia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.23
    (1.31)
    4.71
    (4.6)
    12.71
    (8.35)
    10.4%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Vitória de Sernache - SC Lusitânia?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 13 in the zone Relegation).
    • SC Lusitânia has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • SC Lusitânia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Sernache is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sernache won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Sernache won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória de Sernache - SC Lusitânia were as follows:
    05.10.2025 SC Lusitânia - Vitória de Sernache 2:4
    10.02.2024 SC Lusitânia - Vitória de Sernache 1:0
    08.10.2023 Vitória de Sernache - SC Lusitânia 0:0
    Latest results of Vitória de Sernache
    Latest results of SC Lusitânia
    08.02.2026 Naval - SC Lusitânia 1:1
    24.01.2026 SC Lusitânia - Mortágua 0:1
    18.01.2026 Fatima - SC Lusitânia 2:0
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache ✔ 25167233:102355
    2Oliveira Hospital25138436:132347
    3SB Castelo Branco25144742:222046
    4Naval 189325136634:231145
    5Uniao Da Serra25128536:231344
    6Os Marialvas25106933:27636
    7Mortagua25106921:25-436
    8Fatima25781023:28-529
    9Lajense25781036:37-129
    10Peniche25761229:42-1327
    11Samora Correia25751323:33-1026
    12Marinhense ✔ 25591120:35-1524
    13Electrico ✔ 25541632:60-2819
    14SC Lusitania ✔ 25451623:43-2017

          Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
    Marinhense is Relegated to
    Electrico is Relegated to
    SC Lusitania is Relegated to