Jaguare vs Vitória ES – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba Jaguare - Vitória ES
Result
1:0
18/02/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Capixaba - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball Possession
39%61%
Goal Attempts
79
Shots on Goal
44
Shots off Goal
35
Corner Kicks
39
Goalkeeper Saves
43
Yellow Cards
36
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Gualberto 🟨,
  • 38', Taua 🟨,
  • 40', Victor Vellaske 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Dougllas , Pablo ,
  • 46', Vitinho , Joao Henrique ,
  • 65', Abuda 🟨,
  • 69', Moura T. , Thiaguinho ,
  • 72', Thiaguinho 🟨,
  • 74', 1 - 0, Ninho Xavier (Pen),
  • 80', Thiago , Jonata ,
  • 81', Everson Ribeiro , Adrian ,
  • 85', Victor Vellaske , Edinho ,
  • 85', Wendson , Cezini A. ,
  • 85', Gualberto , Giovanni Carignano ,
  • 87', Pablo 🟨,
  • 90+2', Jonata 🟨,
  • 90+4', Caio Ferraz 🟨,
  • 90+6', Taua 🟨,
  • 90+14', Pablo , Luan Gabriel ,

Chances of winning


Jaguare
20.5%
Draw
28.4%
Vitória ES
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.5% 30.5% 39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3% 31.7% 40.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jaguare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jaguare's form might have worsened.
  • Vitória ES has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vitória ES's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaguare than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jaguare, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória ES than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitória ES, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jaguare - Vitória ES Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.5
    (2.99)
    3.24
    (2.99)
    1.8
    (2.34)
    8.7%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Jaguare - Vitória ES?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Jaguare will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Vitória ES will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Capixaba 2 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Jaguare is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Vitória ES is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Vitória ES will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Jaguare won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jaguare - Vitória ES were as follows:
    24.02.2024 Vitória ES - Jaguare 0:0
    Latest results of Jaguare
    11.02.2025 Noroeste - Jaguare 1:1
    08.02.2025 Jaguare - Rio Branco-VN 0:2
    05.02.2025 Porto Vitória - Jaguare 3:1
    30.01.2025 Nova Venécia - Jaguare 1:1
    Latest results of Vitória ES
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Desportiva Ferroviaria (1)Vilavelhense (8)2 : 1, 4 : 1
    2Capixaba SC (4)Rio Branco ES (5)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    3Rio Branco-VN (3)Vitoria ES (6)0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4Real Noroeste (2)Porto Vitoria (7)1 : 1, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Desportiva Ferroviaria (1)Rio Branco ES (5)0 : 1, 2 : 2
    2Vitoria ES (6)Porto Vitoria (7)0 : 2, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Rio Branco ES (5)Porto Vitoria (7)2 : 0, 0 : 1