Nova Iguaçu vs Vitória ES – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Nova Iguaçu - Vitória ES
Result
3:2
14/06/2023 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 8

Chances of winning


Nova Iguaçu
34.3%
Draw
30%
Vitória ES
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 32.5% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8% 36.9% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Vitória ES has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nova Iguaçu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória ES than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitória ES, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nova Iguaçu - Vitória ES Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.51)
    3
    (2.7)
    2.52
    (2.7)
    11.2%
    (13.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Nova Iguaçu - Vitória ES?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vitória ES will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória ES: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 5).
    • Nova Iguaçu is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Vitória ES is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Nova Iguaçu will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Nova Iguaçu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nova Iguaçu - Vitória ES were as follows:
    10.06.2023 Vitória ES - Nova Iguaçu 3:2
    Latest results of Nova Iguaçu
    Latest results of Vitória ES
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz1 : 1
    4ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1