Vitória ES vs Tombense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
04/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 1

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
31
Corner kicks
97
Total shots
118
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
87
Corner kicks
97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Vitória ES
41.9%
Draw
30.6%
Tombense
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 28.4% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 27.4% 33.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitória ES has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tombense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória ES than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tombense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vitória ES - Tombense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.43)
    2.96
    (3.2)
    3.29
    (2.65)
    10.5%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Vitória ES - Tombense?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Vitória ES is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tombense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Vitória ES may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Vitória ES
    Latest results of Tombense
    25.03.2026 Tombense - Avaí 3:2
    11.03.2026 Confiança - Tombense 2:0
    28.02.2026 URT - Tombense 3:1
    25.02.2026 Tombense - Oratório 2:1
    Brazilian Serie D Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional-AM43018:629
    2Manauara42207:348
    3Sao Raimundo RR42204:138
    4Manaus41122:4-24
    5Monte Roraima40221:4-32
    6GAS40132:6-41


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guapore43106:2410
    2Araguaina42206:428
    3Porto Velho521211:567
    4Galvez42024:7-36
    5Independencia51226:515
    6Humaita40042:12-100


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gama541010:1913
    2Luverdense52214:6-28
    3Aparecidense42026:516
    4Brasiliense41303:216
    5Primavera AC40223:6-32
    6Inhumas40042:8-60


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goiatuba541010:3713
    2Capital53115:3210
    3Mixto51314:406
    4Ceilandia41122:3-14
    5Uniao Rondonopolis51135:10-54
    6Operario VG40133:6-31


    Group 5
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trem42207:438
    2Aguia De Maraba41306:426
    3Imperatriz41305:326
    4Tuna Luso51316:606
    5Oratorio41034:7-33
    6Tocantinopolis50324:8-43


    Group 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Iguatu53206:2411
    2Maracana42115:327
    3Moto Club41213:305
    4Parnahyba41122:4-24
    5Sampaio Correa30210:1-12
    6IAPE40224:7-32


    Group 7
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense-PI52308:449
    2Piaui42118:627
    3Ferroviario42116:427
    4AE Altos52124:7-37
    5Atletico-CE50412:4-24
    6Tirol50234:7-32


    Group 8
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ABC53118:5310
    2America RN43015:239
    3Central SC52216:428
    4Maguary42025:326
    5Sousa41032:5-33
    6Laguna RN40131:8-71


    Group 9
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Serra Branca52309:549
    2Treze PB421111:747
    3Sergipe42117:617
    4Lagarto51139:12-34
    5Retro41126:9-34
    6Decisao41125:8-34


    Group 10
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juazeirense54019:5412
    2CSA531110:4610
    3ASA42114:317
    4CSE41125:7-24
    5Jacuipense41123:6-34
    6Alagoinhas40042:8-60


    Group 11
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Uberlandia54018:4412
    2Ivinhema53117:5210
    3Betim42115:417
    4CRAC41123:304
    5Operario MS50323:6-33
    6Ouvidorense50232:6-42


    Group 12
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tombense42114:137
    2Rio Branco ES42117:527
    3Democrata GV42113:217
    4Vitoria ES42027:436
    5Porto-BA42024:8-46
    6Real Noroeste40131:6-51


    Group 13
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa53208:3511
    2Agua Santa53028:449
    3Portuguesa RJ52217:258
    4America RJ51224:11-75
    5Madureira51136:8-24
    6Pouso Alegre51132:7-54


    Group 14
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Piracicaba52309:549
    2Sampaio Correa FE52215:508
    3Velo Clube42115:327
    4Marica52125:507
    5Noroeste51224:5-15
    6Nova Iguacu40132:7-51


    Group 15
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Joinville53207:3411
    2Cascavel52214:228
    3Santa Catarina52129:727
    4Cianorte42025:416
    5Sao Luiz41215:6-15
    6Guarany de Bage50141:9-81


    Group 16
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Blumenau54018:3512
    2Sao Joseense53113:2110
    3Marcilio Dias52213:218
    4Brasil de Pelotas52126:517
    5Azuriz40131:4-31
    6EC Sao Jose40131:6-51

          Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32~finals)