Result
1:1
06/05/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 6
Chances of winning
Vitoria Guimarães B
54.3% | Draw
25% | Canelas
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitoria Guimarães B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitoria Guimarães B's performance.Canelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Canelas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (-21.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitoria Guimarães B that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canelas than the current prediction. (+17.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Canelas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vitoria Guimarães B - Canelas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(2.75) |
3.67 ↑
(3.1) |
4.46 ↑
(2.38) |
8.7%
(10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães B - Canelas?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Guimarães B will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Canelas will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães B: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Guimarães B is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Canelas in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Guimarães B will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Guimarães B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-6.
- Including matches at home between the teams Guimarães B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães B won against Canelas?
Vitoria Guimarães B has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Canelas won against Vitoria Guimarães B?
Canelas has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães B - Canelas were as follows:
16.04.2023
Canelas
-
Vitoria Guimarães B
1:0
17.12.2022
Canelas
-
Vitoria Guimarães B
1:0
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães B
Latest results of Canelas
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trofense | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 8 |
| 2 | Braga B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Varzim | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Sanjoanense | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | AD Marco 09 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Amarante | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Paredes | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | AD Fafe | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
| 10 | Sao Joao Ver | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 2 | Caldas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Amora | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Academica | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Atletico CP | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Mafra | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 8 | Santarem | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 9 | Lusitano GC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Covilha | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
