Benfica vs Vitoria Guimarães – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
33:22
16/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Andebol 1 - Round 17

Chances of winning


Benfica
83.4%
Draw
6.6%
Vitoria Guimarães
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
78.7% 8.3% 13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 4.6% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-39.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitoria Guimarães could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.43)
    16.33
    (13.5)
    10.77
    (8.65)
    -7.1%
    (-11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 62.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Benfica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Vitoria Guimarães has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Benfica is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 180:124. (average 36:24.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 72:47. (average 36:23.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica 31:32
    30.11.2024 Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães 36:24
    14.09.2024 Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica 27:41
    20.12.2023 Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães 36:23
    30.09.2023 Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica 19:35
    Latest results of Benfica
    13.12.2025 Avanca - Benfica 25:34
    09.12.2025 Benfica - Póvoa 31:22
    06.12.2025 Colegio de Gaia - Benfica 16:12
    02.12.2025 Benfica - MT Melsungen 26:30
    25.11.2025 Ferencváros - Benfica 33:31
    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
    Portuguese Andebol 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Sporting202000811:52560
    2Benfica211623726:60155
    3Porto191522706:50951
    4Aguas Santas211407565:54149
    5Maritimo201127604:57144
    6ABC Braga211029612:63343
    7Povoa219210563:61741
    8Belenenses217212603:63537
    9Vitoria SC216015552:63433
    10Avanca205114581:68031
    11Gaia202315529:63927
    12Arsenal210021468:73521

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