Vitoria Guimarães vs Marítimo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
07/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga BPI Women - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
87
Corner Kicks
105
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
64
Corner Kicks
105

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Ferreira S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 55', 1 - 0, Mariano M. ,
  • 59', Ribeiro M. , Baleia M. ,
  • 65', Turrentine J. 🟨,
  • 65', Goncalves L. , Oliveira L. ,
  • 66', Ferreira S. , Freitas I. ,
  • 71', 2 - 0, Holtz J. (Own goal),
  • 76', 🟨,
  • 78', Mariano M. , Marques V. ,
  • 78', Brasil S. , Gaspar M. ,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Oliveira L. , Nemtsov E. (A),
  • 90+2', Foster M. , Teixeira P. ,
  • 90+2', Lopes I. , Gago M. ,

Chances of winning


Vitoria Guimarães
60.5%
Draw
21.8%
Marítimo
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.9% 26.6% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7% 26.2% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitoria Guimarães's performance.
  • Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marítimo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitoria Guimarães that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marítimo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vitoria Guimarães - Marítimo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.85)
    4.17
    (3.4)
    5.14
    (3.69)
    10%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Marítimo?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Marítimo (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Marítimo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 and 10 in the zone Relegation).
    • In recent matches, Guimarães has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Marítimo is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Guimarães might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guimarães won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, Guimarães won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Marítimo were as follows:
    16.11.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Marítimo 4:1
    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
    Latest results of Marítimo
    08.11.2025 Marítimo - Racing Power 1:2
    02.11.2025 Benfica - Marítimo 5:0
    26.10.2025 Rio Ave - Marítimo 1:1
    19.10.2025 Marítimo - Benfica 1:5
    Portuguese Liga BPI Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SL Benfica W12102044:63832
    2Sporting W1274128:91925
    3Torreense W1270521:17421
    4Valadares Gaia W1253414:14018
    5Braga W1244419:13616
    6Vitoria Guimaraes W1235413:19-614
    7Racing Power W123458:15-713
    8Maritimo W1232716:30-1411
    9Rio Ave W122376:15-99
    10Damaiense W121389:40-316

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
          Liga BPI Women (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation