Result
2:0
08/03/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 25
- Referee: Silva D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.07 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (191/287) | 78% (358/459) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (191/287) | 78% (358/459) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (31/83) | 34% (20/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (56/99) | 67% (94/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 73 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.25 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 6', Mendes J. II. 🟨,
- 6', 1 - 0, Lima S. ⚽, Guilherme Romao (A),
- 14', 2 - 0, Welinton Torrao ⚽,
- 39', Lucas Soares 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Beni ↓, Nogueira G. ↑,
- 46', Mendes J. II. ↓, Lebedenko O. ↑,
- 55', Ndoye A. ↓, Oliveira N. ↑,
- 55', Arcanjo T. ↓, Gustavo ↑,
- 59', Lucas Soares ↓, Diogo Calila ↑,
- 60', Serginho 🟨,
- 69', Samu ↓, Camara O. ↑,
- 73', Tavares J. 🟨,
- 76', Tavares J. ↓, Gustavo Klismahn ↑,
- 76', Fernando ↓, Elias Manoel ↑,
- 83', Gabriel Silva ↓, Brenner ↑,
- 83', Welinton Torrao ↓, Pacheco P. ↑,
- 89', Camara O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Santa Clara
37.6% | Draw
31.3% | Vitoria Guimarães
31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Santa Clara - Vitoria Guimarães Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↑
(2.43) |
3.03 ↑
(3.02) |
3.03 ↓
(3.16) |
5.5%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Santa Clara - Vitoria Guimarães?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Santa Clara will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Guimarães will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Santa Clara (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Guimarães (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Guimarães (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Santa Clara (votes: 1 - 25%). Guimarães (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 1.
- Recent form of Santa Clara has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Guimarães has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Guimarães may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Guimarães: Rivas Viondi O.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Santa Clara: MT
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 0.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Clara won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Santa Clara has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Santa Clara?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Clara - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:
04.10.2025
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Santa Clara
2:1
05.04.2025
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Santa Clara
2:0
10.11.2024
Santa Clara
-
Vitoria Guimarães
1:0
05.03.2023
Santa Clara
-
Vitoria Guimarães
1:3
09.09.2022
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Santa Clara
1:0
Latest results of Santa Clara
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 54:11 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 68:15 | 53 | 65 |
| 3 | Benfica | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 58:17 | 41 | 65 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 46 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 33:22 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 48:44 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:46 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 | Alverca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Arouca | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 34:55 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26:48 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29:39 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
