Result
2:0
05/04/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 28
- Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hungary | Sport 1 |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport |
 World | Disney+, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (365/438) | 82% (333/404) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (365/438) | 82% (333/404) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (22/48) | 53% (26/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (66/88) | 67% (65/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 19% (5/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.59 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 42 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 34 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.58 | -1.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Mendes J. ⚽,
- 33', Adriano Firmino 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Arcanjo T. 🟨,
- 63', Santos N. ↓, Felix V. ↑,
- 66', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
- 70', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
- 71', Oliveira N. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
- 71', Mendes J. ↓, Samu ↑,
- 77', Ferreira P. ↓, Serginho ↑,
- 77', Venancio F. ↓, Sidney Lima ↑,
- 77', Matheus Pereira ↓, Diogo Calila ↑,
- 79', Arcanjo T. ↓, Gustavo ↑,
- 87', Adriano Firmino ↓, Daniel Borges ↑,
- 90', 2 - 0, Gustavo ⚽,
Chances of winning
Vitoria Guimarães
46.8% | Draw
30.8% | Santa Clara
22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+2%)
Vitoria Guimarães - Santa Clara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2
(2) |
3.06 ↓
(3.23) |
4.19 ↑
(3.62) |
6.5%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Santa Clara?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Guimarães (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Vitoria Guimarães will win
(17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 5).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 2.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- In this match Guimarães is a favorite.
- There will not play in Guimarães: Gustavo Silva
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Santa Clara: Ferreira P.
(Yellow Cards)
Pacheco P.
(Knee Injury)
Wendell
(Injury)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:10 (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Guimarães won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Santa Clara?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Santa Clara has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Santa Clara were as follows:
10.11.2024
Santa Clara
-
Vitoria Guimarães
1:0
05.03.2023
Santa Clara
-
Vitoria Guimarães
1:3
09.09.2022
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Santa Clara
1:0
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Latest results of Santa Clara
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | FC Porto | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:0 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Moreirense | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Braga | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 7 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Arouca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | AFS | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
| 15 | Nacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Tondela | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
