Result
08/03/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Santa Clara
35.8% | Draw
31.1% | Vitoria Guimarães
33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Santa Clara - Vitoria Guimarães Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.43) |
3.03 ↑
(3.02) |
2.85 ↓
(3.16) |
6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 1.
- Santa Clara is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Guimarães has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Santa Clara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 0.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Clara won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Santa Clara has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Santa Clara?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Clara - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:
04.10.2025
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Santa Clara
2:1
05.04.2025
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Santa Clara
2:0
10.11.2024
Santa Clara
-
Vitoria Guimarães
1:0
05.03.2023
Santa Clara
-
Vitoria Guimarães
1:3
09.09.2022
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Santa Clara
1:0
Latest results of Santa Clara
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
