Vitoria Guimarães vs Santa Clara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal
Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 8
  • Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
angolaAngolaZ Sports 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
portugalPortugalSport TV1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.131.34
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
80% (332/413)80% (320/402)
Yellow Cards
45
Expected Goals (xG)
2.131.34
xG on target (xGOT)
2.770.99
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
2217
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1117
Passes
80% (332/413)80% (320/402)
Long passes
42% (15/36)39% (24/62)
Passes in final third
67% (103/154)62% (45/73)
Crosses
20% (6/30)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.280.49
Throw-ins
2520
Fouls
1711
Tackles
62% (8/13)57% (8/14)
Duels won
4850
Clearances
1843
Interceptions
1016
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.992.77
Goals prevented
-0.010.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Vinicius Lopes ⚽, Wendell (A),
  • 13', Lima S. 🟨,
  • 28', Vinicius Lopes 🟨,
  • 30', Saviolo N. 🟨,
  • 36', Beni 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Lucas Soares ↓, Diogo Calila ↑,
  • 46', Mendes J. II. ↓, Lebedenko O. ↑,
  • 46', Nogueira M. ↓, Mitrovic M. ↑,
  • 46', Oliveira N. ↓, Ndoye A. ↑,
  • 59', Luquinhas ↓, Serginho ↑,
  • 59', Beni ↓, Arcanjo T. ↑,
  • 60', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
  • 65', Diogo Calila ↓, Elias Manoel ↑,
  • 69', Saviolo N. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
  • 72', Blanco F. 🟨,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Ndoye A. ⚽, Samu (A),
  • 77', Wendell ↓, Brenner ↑,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Samu ⚽,
  • 81', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
  • 82', Castillo J. 🟨,
  • 83', Adriano Firmino 🟨,
  • 88', Elias Manoel 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vitoria Guimarães
26.5%		Draw
33.2%		Santa Clara
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 29.7% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 30.3% 30.2%

Vitoria Guimarães - Santa Clara Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 3.84 ↑
(2.39)		 2.97 ↓
(3.18)		 2.44 ↓
(3.07)		 0.6%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Santa Clara?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Santa Clara will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 35% – 88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Guimarães (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Santa Clara (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Guimarães (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Guimarães (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Guimarães (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Guimarães (2.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Guimarães (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Santa Clara (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Guimarães: Gustavo (Injury)
    • There will not play in Santa Clara: Pacheco P. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 1.4:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guimarães won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.1:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Santa Clara were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Santa Clara 2:0
    10.11.2024 Santa Clara - Vitoria Guimarães 1:0
    05.03.2023 Santa Clara - Vitoria Guimarães 1:3
    09.09.2022 Vitoria Guimarães - Santa Clara 1:0
    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
    28.09.2025 Alverca - Vitoria Guimarães 2:0 ✺
    20.09.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Braga 1:1 ✺
    14.09.2025 Estrela da Amadora - Vitoria Guimarães 0:2 ✺
    30.08.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Arouca 1:1 ✺
    23.08.2025 Moreirense - Vitoria Guimarães 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Santa Clara
    27.09.2025 Santa Clara - Tondela 1:2 ✺
    20.09.2025 Santa Clara - Alverca 2:1 ✺
    12.09.2025 Benfica - Santa Clara 1:1 ✺
    06.09.2025 Estoril Praia - Santa Clara 0:1 ✺
    31.08.2025 Santa Clara - Estrela da Amadora 0:0 ✺
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto18171037:43352
    2Sporting CP18143150:94145
    3Benfica18126038:112742
    4Gil Vicente1887324:131131
    5Braga1886432:181430
    6Moreirense1883725:26-127
    7Famalicao1875621:14726
    8Vitoria Guimaraes1874718:23-525
    9Estoril1865733:29423
    10Alverca1872919:28-923
    11Rio Ave1848622:31-920
    12Estrela1847723:32-919
    13Santa Clara1845914:20-617
    14Nacional1845922:28-617
    15Arouca1845919:42-2317
    16Casa Pia18351017:35-1814
    17Tondela18331212:30-1812
    18AFS18041411:44-334

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