Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 8
- Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Angola | Z Sports 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 1.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (332/413) | 80% (320/402) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.77 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (332/413) | 80% (320/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (15/36) | 39% (24/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (103/154) | 62% (45/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (6/30) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 2.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | 0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Vinicius Lopes ⚽, Wendell (A),
- 13', Lima S. 🟨,
- 28', Vinicius Lopes 🟨,
- 30', Saviolo N. 🟨,
- 36', Beni 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Lucas Soares ↓, Diogo Calila ↑,
- 46', Mendes J. II. ↓, Lebedenko O. ↑,
- 46', Nogueira M. ↓, Mitrovic M. ↑,
- 46', Oliveira N. ↓, Ndoye A. ↑,
- 59', Luquinhas ↓, Serginho ↑,
- 59', Beni ↓, Arcanjo T. ↑,
- 60', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
- 65', Diogo Calila ↓, Elias Manoel ↑,
- 69', Saviolo N. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
- 72', Blanco F. 🟨,
- 73', 1 - 1, Ndoye A. ⚽, Samu (A),
- 77', Wendell ↓, Brenner ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Samu ⚽,
- 81', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
- 82', Castillo J. 🟨,
- 83', Adriano Firmino 🟨,
- 88', Elias Manoel 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vitoria Guimarães
26.5% | Draw
33.2% | Santa Clara
40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitoria Guimarães's form might have worsened.Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Clara's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+13.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitoria Guimarães, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Clara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vitoria Guimarães - Santa Clara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.84 ↑
(2.39) |
2.97 ↓
(3.18) |
2.44 ↓
(3.07) |
0.6%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Santa Clara?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Santa Clara will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 35% – 88%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Guimarães (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Santa Clara (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Guimarães: Gustavo
(Injury)
- There will not play in Santa Clara: Pacheco P.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 1.4:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guimarães won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Santa Clara?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Santa Clara has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Santa Clara were as follows:
05.04.2025
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Santa Clara
2:0
10.11.2024
Santa Clara
-
Vitoria Guimarães
1:0
05.03.2023
Santa Clara
-
Vitoria Guimarães
1:3
09.09.2022
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Santa Clara
1:0
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Latest results of Santa Clara
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
