Vitoria Guimarães vs Santa Clara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/04/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio D. Afonso Henriques (Guimarães).

Liga Portugal - Round 28
Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	Sport 1
Lithuania	Sport 1
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	TV Start
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport
World	Disney+, Triller TV+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.49	1.20
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
9	15
Shots on target
3	5
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
7	6
Passes
83% (365/438)	82% (333/404)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49	1.20
xG on target (xGOT)
0.31	0.58
Total shots
9	15
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
3	9
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
5	7
Shots outside the Box
4	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
7	6
Touches in opposition box
15	21
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
16	11
Passes
83% (365/438)	82% (333/404)
Long passes
46% (22/48)	53% (26/49)
Passes in final third
75% (66/88)	67% (65/97)
Crosses
21% (4/19)	19% (5/27)
Expected assists (xA)
1.46	0.59
Fouls
11	16
Tackles
53% (8/15)	69% (11/16)
Duels won
44	42
Clearances Total
34	18
Interceptions
9	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	1
xGOT faced
0.58	0.31
Goals prevented
0.58	-1.69

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Mendes J. ⚽,
33', Adriano Firmino 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Arcanjo T. 🟨,
63', Santos N. ↓, Felix V. ↑,
66', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
70', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
71', Oliveira N. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
71', Mendes J. ↓, Samu ↑,
77', Ferreira P. ↓, Serginho ↑,
77', Venancio F. ↓, Sidney Lima ↑,
77', Matheus Pereira ↓, Diogo Calila ↑,
79', Arcanjo T. ↓, Gustavo ↑,
87', Adriano Firmino ↓, Daniel Borges ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Gustavo ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Vitoria Guimarães
46.8%

Draw
30.8%

Santa Clara
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

28.5%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

27.4%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+2%)

Vitoria Guimarães - Santa Clara Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 (2)	3.06 ↓ (3.23)	4.19 ↑ (3.62)	6.5% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Santa Clara?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Guimarães (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Vitoria Guimarães will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 5).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 2.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
In this match Guimarães is a favorite.
There will not play in Guimarães: Gustavo Silva (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Santa Clara: Ferreira P. (Yellow Cards) Pacheco P. (Knee Injury) Wendell (Injury)
Last 13 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:10 (average 1.4:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Guimarães won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Santa Clara?

Vitoria Guimarães has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Vitoria Guimarães?

Santa Clara has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Santa Clara were as follows:

10.11.2024 Santa Clara - Vitoria Guimarães 1:0

05.03.2023 Santa Clara - Vitoria Guimarães 1:3

09.09.2022 Vitoria Guimarães - Santa Clara 1:0

Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães

30.03.2025 Moreirense - Vitoria Guimarães 2:2 ✺

13.03.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Betis 0:4 ✺

09.03.2025 Boavista - Vitoria Guimarães 1:2 ✺

06.03.2025 Betis - Vitoria Guimarães 2:2 ✺

01.03.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Casa Pia 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Santa Clara

30.03.2025 Santa Clara - Nacional 1:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Gil Vicente - Santa Clara 0:1 ✺

09.03.2025 Santa Clara - Moreirense 1:1 ✺

02.03.2025 Boavista - Santa Clara 1:0 ✺

23.02.2025 Estrela da Amadora - Santa Clara 0:0 ✺

Liga Portugal Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Estrela	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Vitoria Guimaraes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Estoril	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Gil Vicente	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Rio Ave	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Santa Clara	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Moreirense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	FC Porto	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Sporting CP	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Benfica	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Braga	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Nacional	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Arouca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Casa Pia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Tondela	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Alverca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Famalicao	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	AFS	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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