Athletico Paranaense vs Vitória Salvador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Athletico Paranaense - Vitória Salvador
Result
1:2
02/11/2024 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 32
  • Referee: De Oliveira F. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chileChileMEGOGO
peruPeruL1 Max
worldWorldFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.101.19
Ball Possession
63%37%
Goal Attempts
2411
Shots on Goal
65
Shots off Goal
133
Blocked Shots
53
Free Kicks
138
Corner Kicks
93
Offsides
20
Throw-ins
3321
Goalkeeper Saves
35
Fouls
813
Yellow Cards
13
Total Passes
482282
Completed Passes
388191
Crosses Completed
103
Interceptions
158

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Julimar , Joao Cruz (A),
  • 33', 1 - 1, Alerrandro , Caceres R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Everaldo , Carlos Eduardo ,
  • 52', Willian Oliveira 🟨,
  • 55', Lucas Arcanjo 🟨,
  • 61', Caceres R. , Willean Lepo ,
  • 62', Joao Cruz , Zapelli B. ,
  • 62', Ricardo , Filipe Machado ,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Matheuzinho , Lucas Esteves (A),
  • 66', Filipe Machado 🟨,
  • 68', Cuello 🟨,
  • 73', Edu , Ze Hugo ,
  • 73', Erick , Fernandinho ,
  • 86', Cuello , Godoy L. ,
  • 86', Julimar , Emersonn ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
53%
Draw
27.1%
Vitória Salvador
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 26.3% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4% 30.6% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Athletico Paranaense - Vitória Salvador Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.76)
    3.53
    (3.6)
    4.72
    (4.72)
    5.4%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Vitória Salvador?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Vitória will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Athletico PR: 57.1%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 16 and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 5.
    • Athletico PR is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Vitória is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Athletico PR is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Christian (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Vitória: Caio Vinicius (Injury) Camutanga (Injury) Osvaldo (Injury) Patric Calmon (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Athletico PR: Canobbio A. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 28:18 (average 2.2:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:7 (average 2.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
    30.06.2024 Vitória Salvador - Athletico Paranaense 0:1
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Vitória Salvador
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ16113230:62436
    2Cruzeiro17104328:111734
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bahia1685320:13729
    5Mirassol1677227:161128
    6Bragantino1783620:20027
    7Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    8Fluminense1672718:20-223
    9Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    10Ceara1663716:16021
    11Internacional1656517:20-321
    12Corinthians1756616:20-421
    13Atletico-MG1555516:16020
    14Gremio1755716:23-720
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Vasco1643918:23-515
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1635817:23-614
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1606109:25-166

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