Result
2:2
13/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 3
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 1.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 34 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (462/535) | 75% (244/324) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 2.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 34 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 24 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (462/535) | 75% (244/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (26/49) | 44% (30/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (128/168) | 57% (54/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (7/35) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.45 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 44 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 13 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.00 | 2.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Willian Oliveira 🟨,
- 43', Guilherme Arana 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Willian Oliveira ↓, Ricardo Ryller ↑,
- 48', 0 - 1, Lucas Halter ⚽, Gustavo Silva (A),
- 54', Caceres R. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 1, Fausto Vera ⚽,
- 59', Erick ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 65', 1 - 2, Matheuzinho ⚽,
- 71', Janderson 🟨,
- 71', Fausto Vera ↓, Bernard ↑,
- 72', Guilherme Arana ↓, Caio Paulista ↑,
- 75', Gustavo Silva ↓, Leo Pereira ↑,
- 75', Baralhas ↓, Pepe ↑,
- 76', Natanael ↓, Joao Marcelo ↑,
- 84', Rubens ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
- 84', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
- 87', 2 - 2, Igor Gomes ⚽,
- 90', Caceres R. ↓, Claudinho ↑,
- 90+4', Bernard 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Mineiro
60.4% | Draw
24.9% | Vitória Salvador
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Atlético Mineiro - Vitória Salvador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.7) |
3.81 ↑
(3.55) |
6.42 ↑
(5.4) |
5.9%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Vitória Salvador?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Atlético Mineiro will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético MG won 1.
- Recent matches Atlético MG is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Vitória is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Atlético MG is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Inactive)
Lyanco
(Red Card)
Palacios Alzate B.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Vitória: Renato Kayzer
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético MG: Franco A.
(Injury)
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Atlético MG won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:20 (average 1.5:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Atlético MG won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Vitória Salvador?
Atlético Mineiro has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Atlético Mineiro?
Vitória Salvador has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
05.10.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Vitória Salvador
2:2
20.06.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Atlético Mineiro
4:2
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 34 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29:6 | 23 | 33 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 27 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Internacional | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 20 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 19 |
| 13 | Ceara | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
| 18 | Juventude | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10:29 | -19 | 11 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7:23 | -16 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
