Result
2:0
14/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 6
- Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.97 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (181/244) | 85% (415/489) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (181/244) | 85% (415/489) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (11/46) | 49% (24/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (51/88) | 72% (110/153) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 25% (7/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 1.15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (19/25) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.68 | -0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Marinho ↓, Erick ↑,
- 20', 1 - 0, Renato Kayzer ⚽,
- 45', Caique Goncalves 🟨,
- 45+2', Perez T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Caique Goncalves ↓, Edenilson ↑,
- 46', Roman I. ↓, Preciado A. ↑,
- 58', Cuello ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 58', Perez T. ↓, Hulk ↑,
- 66', Preciado A. 🟨,
- 67', Matheuzinho ↓, Anderson ↑,
- 67', Renato Kayzer ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 0, Erick ⚽, Baralhas (A),
- 74', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Cassierra M. ↑,
- 74', Erick 🟨,
- 84', Reinier ↓, Minda A. ↑,
- 84', Erick ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 90', Ruan Tressoldi 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vitória Salvador
39.4% | Draw
31.3% | Atlético Mineiro
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Mineiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vitória Salvador - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↓
(2.62) |
3.02 ↓
(3.2) |
3.23 ↑
(2.55) |
5.3%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Atlético MG (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Atlético MG (2.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 3.
- Vitória is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Atlético MG's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Vitória: Claudinho
(Muscle Injury)
Dudu
(Inactive)
Fintelman
(Hip Injury)
Luan Candido
(Inactive)
Ramos R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Alexsander
(Knee Injury)
Cisse M.
(Leg Injury)
Maycon
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Vitória: Edu
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Atlético Mineiro?
Vitória Salvador has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Vitória Salvador?
Atlético Mineiro has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
31.08.2025
Vitória Salvador
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:0
13.04.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
Vitória Salvador
2:2
05.10.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Vitória Salvador
2:2
20.06.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Atlético Mineiro
4:2
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Bahia | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Coritiba | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Flamengo RJ | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Gremio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Vasco | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Bragantino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Chapecoense-SC | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 16 | Santos | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Internacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 | Botafogo RJ | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 3 |
| 19 | Remo | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
