Vitória Salvador vs Atlético Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

31/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Barradao (Salvador).

Serie A Betano - Round 22
Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.84	0.65
Ball Possession
30%	70%
Total shots
14	20
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
2	5
Passes
73% (168/229)	88% (463/529)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84	0.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.45	0.23
Total shots
14	20
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
7	10
Blocked Shots
3	5
Shots inside the Box
7	7
Shots outside the Box
7	13
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
2	5
Touches in opposition box
12	20
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
12	20
Passes
73% (168/229)	88% (463/529)
Long passes
35% (22/63)	59% (24/41)
Passes in final third
58% (50/86)	78% (113/144)
Crosses
27% (3/11)	37% (11/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.20	0.69
Throw-ins
16	22
Fouls
20	13
Tackles
65% (15/23)	57% (8/14)
Duels won
48	53
Clearances
33	13
Interceptions
9	7
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	3
xGOT faced
0.23	1.45
Goals prevented
0.23	0.45

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Erick ⚽, Osvaldo (A),
21', Baralhas 🟨,
34', Vitor Hugo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Roberto P. ↓, Edu ↑,
59', Dudu ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
59', Vitor Hugo ↓, Reinier ↑,
63', Alexsander 🟨,
66', Alonso J. 🟨,
67', Cantalapiedra A. ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
69', Natanael ↓, Biel ↑,
75', Osvaldo ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,
75', Erick ↓, Fabricio ↑,
75', Renato Kayzer ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
80', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Rony ↑,
80', Alexsander ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
90+2', Willian Oliveira 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Vitória Salvador
32.3%

Draw
31.9%

Atlético Mineiro
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

31.5%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

32.1%

32.9%

Vitória Salvador - Atlético Mineiro Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.67)	3.09 ↑ (2.96)	2.81 ↑ (2.79)	1.8% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Atlético Mineiro?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 15.1% – 58.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vitória (votes: 1 - 50%). Atlético MG (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 2.
Vitória is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Atlético MG's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Vitória may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Vitória: Baralhas (Injury) Caceres R. (Muscle Injury) Claudinho (Ankle Injury) Jamerson (Ankle Injury) Matheuzinho (Heel Injury) Ramos R. (Injury) Romarinho (Injury)
There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu (Knee Injury) Caio Maia (Knee Injury) Patrick Silva (Broken tailbone) Renzo Saravia (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Atlético MG: Bernard (Health problems) Lyanco (Thigh Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.7:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Atlético Mineiro?

Vitória Salvador has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Vitória Salvador?

Atlético Mineiro has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:

13.04.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Vitória Salvador 2:2

05.10.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Vitória Salvador 2:2

20.06.2024 Vitória Salvador - Atlético Mineiro 4:2

Latest results of Vitória Salvador

25.08.2025 Flamengo - Vitória Salvador 8:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Vitória Salvador - Juventude 2:2 ✺

09.08.2025 São Paulo - Vitória Salvador 2:0 ✺

03.08.2025 Vitória Salvador - Palmeiras 2:2 ✺

26.07.2025 Mirassol - Vitória Salvador 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Atlético Mineiro

27.08.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro 0:2 ✺

24.08.2025 São Paulo - Atlético Mineiro 2:0 ✺

21.08.2025 Godoy Cruz - Atlético Mineiro 0:1 ✺

17.08.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Grêmio 1:3 ✺

14.08.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Godoy Cruz 2:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie A Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ ✔	36	22	9	5	74:24	50	75
2	Palmeiras ✔	36	21	7	8	60:32	28	70
3	Cruzeiro	35	19	11	5	52:25	27	68
4	Mirassol	36	17	12	7	58:36	22	63
5	Fluminense	36	17	7	12	46:38	8	58
6	Botafogo RJ	35	16	10	9	50:32	18	58
7	Bahia	36	16	9	11	48:44	4	57
8	Sao Paulo	36	13	9	14	40:46	-6	48
9	Gremio	36	12	10	14	42:48	-6	46
10	Vasco	36	13	6	17	55:53	2	45
11	Bragantino	36	13	6	17	40:54	-14	45
12	Corinthians	35	12	9	14	38:42	-4	45
13	Atletico-MG	35	11	12	12	38:40	-2	45
14	Ceara	35	11	9	15	32:35	-3	42
15	Vitoria	36	10	12	14	34:48	-14	42
16	Santos	36	10	11	15	39:50	-11	41
17	Internacional	36	10	11	15	41:53	-12	41
18	Fortaleza	35	9	10	16	38:53	-15	37
19	Juventude	36	9	7	20	34:65	-31	34
20	Sport Recife	36	2	11	23	28:69	-41	17

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

Clinched Spots for Teams

Flamengo RJ is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )