Result
1:0
31/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 22
- Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (168/229) | 88% (463/529) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (168/229) | 88% (463/529) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (22/63) | 59% (24/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (50/86) | 78% (113/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 37% (11/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Erick ⚽, Osvaldo (A),
- 21', Baralhas 🟨,
- 34', Vitor Hugo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Roberto P. ↓, Edu ↑,
- 59', Dudu ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
- 59', Vitor Hugo ↓, Reinier ↑,
- 63', Alexsander 🟨,
- 66', Alonso J. 🟨,
- 67', Cantalapiedra A. ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
- 69', Natanael ↓, Biel ↑,
- 75', Osvaldo ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,
- 75', Erick ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 75', Renato Kayzer ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
- 80', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Rony ↑,
- 80', Alexsander ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
- 90+2', Willian Oliveira 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vitória Salvador
32.3% | Draw
31.9% | Atlético Mineiro
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Vitória Salvador - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↑
(2.67) |
3.09 ↑
(2.96) |
2.81 ↑
(2.79) |
1.8%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 15.1% – 58.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vitória (votes: 1 - 50%). Atlético MG (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 2.
- Vitória is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Atlético MG's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Vitória may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Vitória: Baralhas
(Injury)
Caceres R.
(Muscle Injury)
Claudinho
(Ankle Injury)
Jamerson
(Ankle Injury)
Matheuzinho
(Heel Injury)
Ramos R.
(Injury)
Romarinho
(Injury)
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Patrick Silva
(Broken tailbone)
Renzo Saravia
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético MG: Bernard
(Health problems)
Lyanco
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Atlético Mineiro?
Vitória Salvador has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Vitória Salvador?
Atlético Mineiro has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
13.04.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
Vitória Salvador
2:2
05.10.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Vitória Salvador
2:2
20.06.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Atlético Mineiro
4:2
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 35:20 | 15 | 35 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Internacional | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 25 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
| 15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
| 16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
