Atlético Mineiro vs Vitória Salvador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Atlético Mineiro - Vitória Salvador
Result
2:2
13/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 3
  • Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.111.20
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
349
Shots on target
104
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
163
Passes
86% (462/535)75% (244/324)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.111.20
xG on target (xGOT)
2.552.00
Total shots
349
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
152
Shots inside the Box
245
Shots outside the Box
104
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
163
Touches in opposition box
399
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
108
Passes
86% (462/535)75% (244/324)
Long passes
53% (26/49)44% (30/68)
Passes in final third
76% (128/168)57% (54/94)
Crosses
20% (7/35)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.160.45
Fouls
810
Tackles
59% (13/22)74% (14/19)
Duels won
5244
Clearances Total
1335
Interceptions
515
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
28
xGOT faced
2.002.55
Goals prevented
0.000.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Willian Oliveira 🟨,
  • 43', Guilherme Arana 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Willian Oliveira , Ricardo Ryller ,
  • 48', 0 - 1, Lucas Halter , Gustavo Silva (A),
  • 54', Caceres R. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Fausto Vera ,
  • 59', Erick , Carlos Eduardo ,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Matheuzinho ,
  • 71', Janderson 🟨,
  • 71', Fausto Vera , Bernard ,
  • 72', Guilherme Arana , Caio Paulista ,
  • 75', Gustavo Silva , Leo Pereira ,
  • 75', Baralhas , Pepe ,
  • 76', Natanael , Joao Marcelo ,
  • 84', Rubens , Gabriel Menino ,
  • 84', Gustavo Scarpa , Igor Gomes ,
  • 87', 2 - 2, Igor Gomes ,
  • 90', Caceres R. , Claudinho ,
  • 90+4', Bernard 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlético Mineiro
60.4%
Draw
24.9%
Vitória Salvador
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 26.7% 17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8% 25.7% 17%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Atlético Mineiro - Vitória Salvador Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.7)
    3.81
    (3.55)
    6.42
    (5.4)
    5.9%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Vitória Salvador?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Atlético Mineiro will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético MG won 1.
    • Recent matches Atlético MG is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Vitória is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Atlético MG is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu (Knee Injury) Caio Maia (Inactive) Lyanco (Red Card) Palacios Alzate B. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Vitória: Renato Kayzer (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlético MG: Franco A. (Injury)
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Atlético MG won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:20 (average 1.5:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Atlético MG won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Vitória Salvador 2:2
    20.06.2024 Vitória Salvador - Atlético Mineiro 4:2
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro16104227:91834
    2Flamengo RJ15103229:62333
    3Palmeiras1492318:12629
    4Bragantino1683519:17227
    5Botafogo RJ1474317:71025
    6Bahia1474317:13425
    7Mirassol1466223:131024
    8Fluminense1462616:17-120
    9Atletico-MG1455416:15120
    10Internacional1555516:19-320
    11Corinthians1655615:19-420
    12Sao Paulo1647515:18-319
    13Ceara1553714:15-118
    14Gremio1445514:20-617
    15Vitoria1637613:17-416
    16Vasco1442815:19-414
    17Santos1542913:19-614
    18Juventude1432910:29-1911
    19Fortaleza1425713:20-711
    20Sport Recife1404107:23-164

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