Vitória Salvador vs Ceará – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Vitória Salvador - Ceará
Result
1:0
02/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 26
  • Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.030.56
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
78% (216/277)85% (410/480)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.030.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.080.68
Total shots
914
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
49
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1419
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1514
Passes
78% (216/277)85% (410/480)
Long passes
45% (21/47)62% (37/60)
Passes in final third
63% (49/78)68% (79/116)
Crosses
22% (5/23)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.80
Throw-ins
1130
Fouls
1415
Tackles
82% (14/17)88% (7/8)
Duels won
5746
Clearances
3825
Interceptions
38
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.681.08
Goals prevented
0.680.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Ze Marcos , Lucas Halter (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Richardson , Vina ,
  • 47', Vina 🟨,
  • 52', Caceres R. 🟨,
  • 55', Cantalapiedra A. , Matheuzinho ,
  • 55', Erick , Osvaldo ,
  • 63', Fernando Sobral , Vinicius Zanocelo ,
  • 63', Galeano A. , Paulo Baya ,
  • 72', Renato Kayzer , Lopez R. ,
  • 72', Ronald Lopes , Pepe ,
  • 72', Pedro Henrique , Aylon ,
  • 80', Caceres R. , Claudinho ,
  • 82', Lourenco , Lucas Mugni ,
  • 86', Ramon 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vitória Salvador
40.2%
Draw
31.8%
Ceará
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 31.1% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 30.8% 29.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Vitória Salvador - Ceará Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (2.4)
    2.98
    (3)
    3.42
    (3.1)
    5.2%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Ceará?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Ceará will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 3.
    • Recent form of Vitória has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ceará has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Vitória could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Vitória: Fabricio (Injury) Fintelman (Hip Injury) Jamerson (Ankle Injury) Ramos R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Ceará: Diego (Yellow Cards) Fernandinho (Inactive) Lucas Lima (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Ceará were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Ceará - Vitória Salvador 1:0
    13.08.2023 Vitória Salvador - Ceará 1:0
    10.05.2023 Ceará - Vitória Salvador 0:2
    08.03.2023 Vitória Salvador - Ceará 2:0
    Latest results of Vitória Salvador
    Latest results of Ceará
    29.09.2025 São Paulo - Ceará 0:1
    20.09.2025 Ceará - Bahia 1:1
    14.09.2025 Vasco da Gama - Ceará 2:2
    30.08.2025 Ceará - Juventude 0:1
    23.08.2025 Grêmio - Ceará 0:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ25167250:123855
    2Palmeiras24164439:192052
    3Cruzeiro26156539:192051
    4Botafogo RJ27127837:231443
    5Mirassol251110442:251743
    6Bahia25117733:30340
    7Fluminense25115933:31238
    8Sao Paulo26108829:25438
    9Bragantino271061133:38-536
    10Gremio27891028:33-533
    11Internacional26881032:38-632
    12Ceara25871023:24-131
    13Vasco26861238:38030
    14Corinthians26791026:32-630
    15Atletico-MG25781022:29-729
    16Santos25771125:35-1028
    17Vitoria265101121:38-1725
    18Juventude25651420:46-2623
    19Fortaleza25561424:40-1621
    20Sport Recife24291318:37-1915

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet