Result
1:0
02/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 26
- Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.03 | 0.56 |
Ball Possession |
---|
37% | 63% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
78% (216/277) | 85% (410/480) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.03 | 0.56 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.08 | 0.68 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
14 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
78% (216/277) | 85% (410/480) |
Long passes |
---|
45% (21/47) | 62% (37/60) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (49/78) | 68% (79/116) |
Crosses |
---|
22% (5/23) | 20% (4/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.59 | 0.80 |
Throw-ins |
---|
11 | 30 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
82% (14/17) | 88% (7/8) |
Duels won |
---|
57 | 46 |
Clearances |
---|
38 | 25 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.68 | 1.08 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.68 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Ze Marcos ⚽, Lucas Halter (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Richardson ↓, Vina ↑,
- 47', Vina 🟨,
- 52', Caceres R. 🟨,
- 55', Cantalapiedra A. ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
- 55', Erick ↓, Osvaldo ↑,
- 63', Fernando Sobral ↓, Vinicius Zanocelo ↑,
- 63', Galeano A. ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
- 72', Renato Kayzer ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 72', Ronald Lopes ↓, Pepe ↑,
- 72', Pedro Henrique ↓, Aylon ↑,
- 80', Caceres R. ↓, Claudinho ↑,
- 82', Lourenco ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
- 86', Ramon 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vitória Salvador 40.2% | Draw 31.8% | Ceará 27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Vitória Salvador - Ceará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.36 ↓ (2.4) |
2.98 ↓ (3) |
3.42 ↑ (3.1) |
5.2% (7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Ceará?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Ceará will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 3.
- Recent form of Vitória has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ceará has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Vitória could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Vitória: Fabricio
(Injury)
Fintelman
(Hip Injury)
Jamerson
(Ankle Injury)
Ramos R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Ceará: Diego
(Yellow Cards)
Fernandinho
(Inactive)
Lucas Lima
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Ceará?
Vitória Salvador has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Vitória Salvador?
Ceará has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Ceará were as follows:
03.05.2025
Ceará
-
Vitória Salvador
1:0
13.08.2023
Vitória Salvador
-
Ceará
1:0
10.05.2023
Ceará
-
Vitória Salvador
0:2
08.03.2023
Vitória Salvador
-
Ceará
2:0
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 50:12 | 38 | 55 |
2 | Palmeiras | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 39:19 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 51 |
4 | Botafogo RJ | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 37:23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Mirassol | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 43 |
6 | Bahia | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
7 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 38 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
9 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:38 | -5 | 36 |
10 | Gremio | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
11 | Internacional | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Ceara | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 31 |
13 | Vasco | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 38:38 | 0 | 30 |
14 | Corinthians | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
15 | Atletico-MG | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 29 |
16 | Santos | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 28 |
17 | Vitoria | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:38 | -17 | 25 |
18 | Juventude | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 23 |
19 | Fortaleza | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 21 |
20 | Sport Recife | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:37 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet