Result
1:0
03/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 7
- Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (262/336) | 82% (271/330) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 31 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (262/336) | 82% (271/330) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (25/57) | 45% (20/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (44/78) | 67% (49/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 31 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Lucas Braga 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Fabiano ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
- 53', Matheuzinho 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 0, Marllon ⚽, Lucas Mugni (A),
- 58', Lucas Braga ↓, Erick ↑,
- 58', Ricardo Ryller ↓, Wellington Rato ↑,
- 58', Carlinhos ↓, Leo Pereira ↑,
- 73', Lucas Mugni ↓, Romulo ↑,
- 78', Galeano A. ↓, Bruno Tubarao ↑,
- 78', Pedro Raul ↓, Lele ↑,
- 85', Matheuzinho ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 90+2', Claudinho 🟨,
- 90+3', Pedro Henrique ↓, Nicolas ↑,
- 90+5', Neris ↓, Edu ↑,
Chances of winning
Ceará
42.8% | Draw
31.4% | Vitória Salvador
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ceará's form might have worsened.Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ceará, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitória Salvador, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ceará - Vitória Salvador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(1.79) |
3.04 ↓
(3.56) |
3.67 ↓
(4.52) |
5.3%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ceará - Vitória Salvador?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Vitória will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceará: 4% – 71%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 2.
- Recent form of Ceará has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vitória's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ceará is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Ceará: Bruno Ferreira
(Injury)
- There will not play in Vitória: Renato Kayzer
(Thigh Injury)
Willian Oliveira
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Fernandinho
(Shoulder Injury)
Gabriel Lacerda
(Inactive)
Luiz Otavio
(Knee Injury)
Richard
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Richardson
(Heel Injury)
- There are questionable in Vitória: Gabriel
(Muscle Injury)
Wellington Rato
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Vitória Salvador?
Ceará has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Ceará?
Vitória Salvador has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceará - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
13.08.2023
Vitória Salvador
-
Ceará
1:0
10.05.2023
Ceará
-
Vitória Salvador
0:2
08.03.2023
Vitória Salvador
-
Ceará
2:0
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Bahia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 28 |
| 6 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 7 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 10 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 14 | Gremio | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 20 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Vasco | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 15 |
| 17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
