Result
1:0
02/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 26
- Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (216/277) | 85% (410/480) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (216/277) | 85% (410/480) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (21/47) | 62% (37/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (49/78) | 68% (79/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Ze Marcos ⚽, Lucas Halter (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Richardson ↓, Vina ↑,
- 47', Vina 🟨,
- 52', Caceres R. 🟨,
- 55', Cantalapiedra A. ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
- 55', Erick ↓, Osvaldo ↑,
- 63', Fernando Sobral ↓, Vinicius Zanocelo ↑,
- 63', Galeano A. ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
- 72', Renato Kayzer ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 72', Ronald Lopes ↓, Pepe ↑,
- 72', Pedro Henrique ↓, Aylon ↑,
- 80', Caceres R. ↓, Claudinho ↑,
- 82', Lourenco ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
- 86', Ramon 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vitória Salvador
40.2% | Draw
31.8% | Ceará
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Vitória Salvador - Ceará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↓
(2.4) |
2.98 ↓
(3) |
3.42 ↑
(3.1) |
5.2%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Ceará?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Ceará will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 23.1% – 88.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitória (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - Ceará (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitória (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ceará (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 3.
- Recent form of Vitória has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ceará has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Vitória could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Vitória: Fabricio
(Injury)
Fintelman
(Hip Injury)
Jamerson
(Ankle Injury)
Ramos R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Ceará: Diego
(Yellow Cards)
Fernandinho
(Inactive)
Lucas Lima
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Ceará?
Vitória Salvador has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Vitória Salvador?
Ceará has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Ceará were as follows:
03.05.2025
Ceará
-
Vitória Salvador
1:0
13.08.2023
Vitória Salvador
-
Ceará
1:0
10.05.2023
Ceará
-
Vitória Salvador
0:2
08.03.2023
Vitória Salvador
-
Ceará
2:0
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
