Result
1:1
05/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 1.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (284/352) | 74% (206/277) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (284/352) | 74% (206/277) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (19/41) | 40% (21/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (78/104) | 51% (33/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (11/39) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Everton ↓, Marcos Vinicius ↑,
- 37', Edenilson 🟨,
- 38', Edenilson 🟥,
- 45', Ronald Lopes 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Renato Kayzer ↓, Rene ↑,
- 46', Ronald Lopes ↓, Nathan Mendes ↑,
- 46', Bruno Pacheco ↓, Clar W. ↑,
- 56', Camutanga ↓, Luan Candido ↑,
- 64', Tarzia D. ↓, Anderson ↑,
- 65', Everton 🟨,
- 67', Italo ↓, Marcinho ↑,
- 70', Anderson 🟨,
- 82', Caca 🟨,
- 83', Joao Vitor ↓, David Antunes ↑,
- 83', Jean Carlos ↓, Neto Pessoa ↑,
- 87', 1 - 0, Neto Pessoa ⚽, Marcos Vinicius (A),
- 89', Ramon 🟨,
- 89', Marcos Vinicius 🟨,
- 89', Caique Goncalves ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Matheuzinho (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Chapecoense
36.4% | Draw
29.8% | Vitória Salvador
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-3%)
Chapecoense - Vitória Salvador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.62 ↑
(2.43) |
3.17 ↓
(3.28) |
2.81 ↓
(2.97) |
5.4%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Vitória Salvador?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Vitória will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Vitória (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Vitória (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Vitória (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitória (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 1.
- Chapecoense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vitória has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Vitória may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Chapecoense: Bruno Matias
(Knee Injury)
Mauricio Garcez
(Hamstring Injury)
Robert Conceicao
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Vitória: Baralhas
(Yellow Cards)
Claudinho
(Muscle Injury)
Dudu
(Back Injury)
Edu
(Injury)
Emmanuel Martinez
(Yellow Cards)
Jamerson
(Inactive)
Marinho
(Hamstring Injury)
Pedro H.
(Injury)
Ramos R.
(Knee Injury)
Renato Kayzer
(Inactive)
Riccieli
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Chapecoense: Giovanni Augusto
(Injury)
Mancha
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Vitória: Fintelman
(Hip Injury)
Yuri
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Vitória Salvador?
Chapecoense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Chapecoense?
Vitória Salvador has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chapecoense - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
25.11.2023
Chapecoense
-
Vitória Salvador
3:1
24.07.2023
Vitória Salvador
-
Chapecoense
1:0
Latest results of Chapecoense
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:12 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 23:18 | 5 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Bahia | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Vitoria | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Internacional | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:14 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:21 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Cruzeiro | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Santos | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 15 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 |
| 19 | Remo | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:26 | -13 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
