Result
0:1
08/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa do Nordeste - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Mourao P. (Bra)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Ricardo Ryller 🟨,
- 42', Felipe Scheibig 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Osvaldo ↓, Leo Pereira ↑,
- 46', Ze Marcos ↓, Erick ↑,
- 46', Ricardo Ryller ↓, Pepe ↑,
- 58', Nicholas ↓, Lucas Souza ↑,
- 73', Pepe 🟨,
- 77', Willian Oliveira ↓, Baralhas ↑,
- 77', Maykon Jesus ↓, Claudinho ↑,
- 84', Vitinho ↓, Rafinha ↑,
- 84', Neto Oliveira ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
- 90', Renilson ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
- 90', Alan Cardoso ↓, Maicon ↑,
- 90+1', 0 - 1, Rafinha ⚽, Thiago Santos (A),
Chances of winning
Vitória Salvador
65.8% | Draw
22.6% | Confiança
11.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitória Salvador that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Vitória Salvador - Confiança Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↑
(1.39) |
4.15 ↑
(4.05) |
8.15 ↑
(7.01) |
7.8%
(10.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Confiança?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Confiança will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vitória (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 1.
- Recent form of Vitória has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Confiança has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Vitória may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Vitória is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Confiança?
Vitória Salvador has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Confiança won against Vitória Salvador?
Confiança has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Confiança were as follows:
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Latest results of Confiança
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | CSA | Ferroviario | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Vitoria | Confianca | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Bahia | Fortaleza | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Sport Recife | Ceara | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finalsFinal
