Vitória Salvador vs Confiança – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
08/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa do Nordeste - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Mourao P. (Bra)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
65
Corner Kicks
51
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
127
Corner Kicks
51
Goalkeeper Saves
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Ricardo Ryller 🟨,
  • 42', Felipe Scheibig 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Osvaldo , Leo Pereira ,
  • 46', Ze Marcos , Erick ,
  • 46', Ricardo Ryller , Pepe ,
  • 58', Nicholas , Lucas Souza ,
  • 73', Pepe 🟨,
  • 77', Willian Oliveira , Baralhas ,
  • 77', Maykon Jesus , Claudinho ,
  • 84', Vitinho , Rafinha ,
  • 84', Neto Oliveira , Thiago Santos ,
  • 90', Renilson , Matheusinho ,
  • 90', Alan Cardoso , Maicon ,
  • 90+1', 0 - 1, Rafinha , Thiago Santos (A),

Chances of winning


Vitória Salvador
65.8%
Draw
22.6%
Confiança
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.8% 22.3% 12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5% 20.1% 14.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitória Salvador that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Vitória Salvador - Confiança Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.39)
    4.15
    (4.05)
    8.15
    (7.01)
    7.8%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Confiança?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Confiança will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vitória (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 1.
    • Recent form of Vitória has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Confiança has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Vitória may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Vitória is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
    Latest results of Vitória Salvador
    Latest results of Confiança
    05.07.2025 Confiança - ABC 1:1
    29.06.2025 Figueirense - Confiança 1:1
    15.06.2025 Ypiranga - Confiança 1:0
    07.06.2025 Juazeirense - Confiança 0:0
    04.06.2025 Confiança - Bahia 2:0
    Brazilian Copa do Nordeste Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria00000:000
    2Itabaiana00000:000
    3ASA00000:000
    4Sousa00000:000
    5Fluminense-PI00000:000


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1CRB00000:000
    2Confianca00000:000
    3Botafogo PB00000:000
    4Juazeirense00000:000
    5Piaui00000:000


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ceara00000:000
    2Sport Recife00000:000
    3America RN00000:000
    4Ferroviario00000:000
    5Imperatriz00000:000


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fortaleza00000:000
    2ABC00000:000
    3Jacuipense00000:000
    4Maranhao00000:000
    5Retro00000:000

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