Itabuna vs Vitória Salvador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Baiano Itabuna - Vitória Salvador
Result
0:2
03/03/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: BAIANO - ROUND 9

Chances of winning


Itabuna
9.1%
Draw
16.3%
Vitória Salvador
74.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.3% 25.2% 58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16% 24.7% 59.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Itabuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Itabuna's form might have worsened.
  • Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vitória Salvador's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabuna than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Itabuna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-15%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitória Salvador, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Itabuna - Vitória Salvador Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.96
    (5.58)
    5.55
    (3.6)
    1.21
    (1.55)
    10.6%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Baiano 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Itabuna has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Vitória is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Itabuna could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Vitória have a series of home games.
    • In this match Vitória is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Itabuna won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Itabuna - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
    15.01.2023 Vitória Salvador - Itabuna 1:4
    Latest results of Itabuna
    28.02.2024 Itabuna - Nova Iguaçu 0:8
    22.02.2024 Jequié - Itabuna 2:1
    07.02.2024 Bahia - Itabuna 5:0
    01.02.2024 Juazeirense - Itabuna 1:1
    Latest results of Vitória Salvador
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Vitoria (1)Alagoinhas (4)3 : 0, 4 : 0
    2Jacuipense (2)Bahia (3)0 : 5, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Vitoria (1)Bahia (3)1 : 1, 0 : 2