Vitória Salvador vs Jacuipense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 penalties
01/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Baiano - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
815
Shots on target
33
Corner kicks
56
Yellow cards
23
Red cards
10
Total shots
815
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
512
Corner kicks
56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Renato Kayzer ,
  • 16', Caique Goncalves 🟥,
  • 27', Talisca 🟨,
  • 27', Renato Kayzer 🟨,
  • 45+6', Lucas Arcanjo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Matheusinho , Edenilson ,
  • 46', Talisca , Alison Daniel ,
  • 62', Matheuzinho , Jamerson ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Pedro Henrique ,
  • 67', William , Flavinho ,
  • 67', Ruan , Vicente ,
  • 72', Vinicius Amaral 🟨,
  • 76', Hugo Moura 🟨,
  • 76', Ramon , Cantalapiedra A. ,
  • 76', Erick , Marinho ,
  • 78', Vinicius Amaral , Gabriel Pereira ,
  • 90', Pedro Henrique , Sidney Freitas ,
  • 90+3', Edu , Osvaldo ,
  • Penalties (4 - 2)
  • 1, Thiaguinho (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Renato Kayzer (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Alison Daniel (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Osvaldo (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Vicente (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Cantalapiedra A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Flavinho (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Marinho (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Vitória Salvador
68%
Draw
21.4%
Jacuipense
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.8% 19.9% 11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3% 18.6% 12.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Jacuipense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacuipense than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Vitória Salvador - Jacuipense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.34)
    4.33
    (4.63)
    8.67
    (8.18)
    8.2%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Jacuipense?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Jacuipense will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 2.
    • Vitória has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Jacuipense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Vitória may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Vitória is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 0.9:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Jacuipense were as follows:
    13.01.2026 Jacuipense - Vitória Salvador 0:0
    19.01.2025 Vitória Salvador - Jacuipense 1:1
    17.01.2024 Jacuipense - Vitória Salvador 0:1
    12.02.2023 Vitória Salvador - Jacuipense 1:1
    08.01.2023 Vitória Salvador - Jacuipense 1:0
    Latest results of Vitória Salvador
    Latest results of Jacuipense
    25.02.2026 Ceilândia - Jacuipense 1:2
    14.02.2026 Bahia - Jacuipense 2:2
    04.02.2026 Jacuipense - Jequié 0:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Bahia (1)Juazeirense (4)4 : 2
    2Vitoria (2)Jacuipense (3)2 : 1

    Final
    1Bahia (1)Vitoria (2)