Result
5:1
04/02/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 2
- Referee: Sampaio S. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (369/427) | 80% (228/285) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.77 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (369/427) | 80% (228/285) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (25/36) | 37% (14/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (73/105) | 64% (53/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.65 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 2.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | -2.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Murilo ⚽, Andreas Pereira (A),
- 25', Nathan Mendes 🟨,
- 28', 2 - 0, Gomez G. ⚽, Murilo (A),
- 45+2', Allan Elias 🟨,
- 45+5', 3 - 0, Mauricio ⚽, Piquerez J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Nathan Mendes ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
- 46', Riccieli ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 49', Ramon 🟨,
- 52', Ze Marcos 🟨,
- 56', 3 - 1, Dudu ⚽, Fabricio (A),
- 63', 4 - 1, Allan Elias ⚽, Andreas Pereira (A),
- 64', Erick ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
- 69', Ze Marcos ↓, Luan Candido ↑,
- 72', Allan Elias ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
- 78', Fabricio ↓, Lawan ↑,
- 80', 5 - 1, Sosa R. ⚽, Andreas Pereira (A),
- 85', Mauricio ↓, Larson ↑,
- 85', Vitor Roque ↓, Luighi ↑,
- 85', Lopez J. ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
- 90', Lawan 🟨,
Chances of winning
Palmeiras
71% | Draw
19.2% | Vitória Salvador
9.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Palmeiras have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Palmeiras - Vitória Salvador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↑
(1.32) |
4.92 ↓
(4.95) |
9.5 ↑
(9.3) |
5.7%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Vitória Salvador?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 50.6% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Palmeiras will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 2.
- Palmeiras has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Vitória is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Vitória may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Palmeiras is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Felipe Anderson
(Inactive)
Figueiredo
(Inactive)
Lucas Evangelista
(Hamstring Injury)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Vitória: Claudinho
(Knee Injury)
Edu
(Inactive)
Fintelman
(Hip Injury)
Lucas Arcanjo
(Knee Injury)
Ramos R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Vitória: Marinho
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Vitória Salvador?
Palmeiras has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Palmeiras?
Vitória Salvador has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
19.11.2025
Palmeiras
-
Vitória Salvador
0:0
03.08.2025
Vitória Salvador
-
Palmeiras
2:2
27.07.2024
Palmeiras
-
Vitória Salvador
0:2
14.04.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Palmeiras
0:1
Latest results of Palmeiras
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Corinthians | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Coritiba | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Gremio | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | Remo | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Vasco | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Santos | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Internacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
