Result
2:2
03/08/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (222/279) | 84% (359/426) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (222/279) | 84% (359/426) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (28/48) | 59% (33/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (52/78) | 76% (97/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.94 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.85 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', Caceres R. ↓, Claudinho ↑,
- 34', 1 - 0, Renato Kayzer ⚽, Ronald Lopes (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 54', Micael 🟨,
- 64', Allan ↓, Piquerez J. ↑,
- 64', Vanderlan ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
- 64', Luighi ↓, Torres F. ↑,
- 65', Thalys ↓, Vitor Roque ↑,
- 65', 2 - 0, Erick ⚽,
- 66', Erick 🟨,
- 69', Renato Kayzer 🟨,
- 70', 2 - 1, Piquerez J. (Pen),
- 73', Erick ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 73', Ronald Lopes ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
- 73', Renato Kayzer ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 80', Raphael Veiga ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
- 80', Osvaldo ↓, Edu ↑,
- 86', 2 - 2, Lopez J. ⚽, Sosa R. (A),
- 87', Lopez R. 🟨,
- 89', Weverton 🟨,
- 90+2', Lucas Halter 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vitória Salvador
24.3% | Draw
30.6% | Palmeiras
45.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Palmeiras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palmeiras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vitória Salvador - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4 ↓
(4.74) |
3.13 ↓
(3.38) |
2.09 ↑
(1.82) |
4.9%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Palmeiras?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Vitória (votes: 4 - 80%).
Users Predictions:
Palmeiras will win
(78 of 81 users predict this - 96.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 92.19% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Palmeiras will win (28 of 29 users predict this - 96.55%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 2.
- Vitória has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Palmeiras is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Palmeiras is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Vitória: Jamerson
(Ankle Injury)
Matheuzinho
(Heel Injury)
Neris
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues
(Knee Injury)
Felipe Anderson
(Hip Injury)
Murilo
(Thigh Injury)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Vitória: Erick
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Palmeiras: Bruno Fuchs
(Injury)
Figueiredo
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Palmeiras?
Vitória Salvador has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Vitória Salvador?
Palmeiras has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Palmeiras were as follows:
27.07.2024
Palmeiras
-
Vitória Salvador
0:2
14.04.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Palmeiras
0:1
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Latest results of Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 35:20 | 15 | 35 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Internacional | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 25 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
| 15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
| 16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
