Palmeiras vs Vitória Salvador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/02/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Allianz Parque (Sao Paulo).

Serie A Betano - Round 2
Referee: Sampaio S. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Mexico	Fanatiz
Portugal	Canal 11
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.02	0.80
Ball possession
60%	40%
Total shots
17	9
Shots on target
8	4
Big chances
3	3
Corner kicks
6	4
Passes
86% (369/427)	80% (228/285)
Yellow cards
1	4
Expected goals (xG)
2.02	0.80
xG on target (xGOT)
2.77	1.40
Total shots
17	9
Shots on target
8	4
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked shots
5	3
Shots inside the box
11	6
Shots outside the box
6	3
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
3	3
Corner kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
32	12
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
16	13
Passes
86% (369/427)	80% (228/285)
Long passes
69% (25/36)	37% (14/38)
Passes in final third
70% (73/105)	64% (53/83)
Crosses
28% (5/18)	29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.49	0.65
Throw ins
17	18
Fouls
13	16
Tackles
64% (7/11)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
52	43
Clearances
14	29
Interceptions
7	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.40	2.77
Goals prevented
0.40	-2.22

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Murilo ⚽, Andreas Pereira (A),
25', Nathan Mendes 🟨,
28', 2 - 0, Gomez G. ⚽, Murilo (A),
45+2', Allan Elias 🟨,
45+5', 3 - 0, Mauricio ⚽, Piquerez J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Nathan Mendes ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
46', Riccieli ↓, Dudu ↑,
49', Ramon 🟨,
52', Ze Marcos 🟨,
56', 3 - 1, Dudu ⚽, Fabricio (A),
63', 4 - 1, Allan Elias ⚽, Andreas Pereira (A),
64', Erick ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
69', Ze Marcos ↓, Luan Candido ↑,
72', Allan Elias ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
78', Fabricio ↓, Lawan ↑,
80', 5 - 1, Sosa R. ⚽, Andreas Pereira (A),
85', Mauricio ↓, Larson ↑,
85', Vitor Roque ↓, Luighi ↑,
85', Lopez J. ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
90', Lawan 🟨,

Chances of winning

Palmeiras
71%

Draw
19.2%

Vitória Salvador
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

18.9%

10.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.1%

18.1%

9.7%

Palmeiras - Vitória Salvador Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.32)	4.92 ↓ (4.95)	9.5 ↑ (9.3)	5.7% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Vitória Salvador?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 50.6% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 2.
Palmeiras has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Vitória is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Vitória may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Palmeiras is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Palmeiras: Felipe Anderson (Inactive) Figueiredo (Inactive) Lucas Evangelista (Hamstring Injury) Paulinho (Leg Injury)
There will not play in Vitória: Claudinho (Knee Injury) Edu (Inactive) Fintelman (Hip Injury) Lucas Arcanjo (Knee Injury) Ramos R. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Vitória: Marinho (Ankle Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 1.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Vitória Salvador?

Palmeiras has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Palmeiras?

Vitória Salvador has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Vitória Salvador were as follows:

19.11.2025 Palmeiras - Vitória Salvador 0:0

03.08.2025 Vitória Salvador - Palmeiras 2:2

27.07.2024 Palmeiras - Vitória Salvador 0:2

14.04.2024 Vitória Salvador - Palmeiras 0:1

Latest results of Palmeiras

01.02.2026 Botafogo SP - Palmeiras 1:0 ✺

28.01.2026 Atlético Mineiro - Palmeiras 2:2 ✺

24.01.2026 Palmeiras - São Paulo 3:1 ✺

20.01.2026 Grêmio Novorizontino - Palmeiras 4:0 ✺

17.01.2026 Palmeiras - Mirassol 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Vitória Salvador

01.02.2026 Barcelona de Ilhéus - Vitória Salvador 0:2 ✺

28.01.2026 Vitória Salvador - Remo 2:0 ✺

25.01.2026 Vitória Salvador - Bahia 0:1 ✺

21.01.2026 Vitória Salvador - Juazeirense 4:0 ✺

18.01.2026 Porto SC - Vitória Salvador 1:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bragantino	2	2	0	0	2:0	2	6
2	Palmeiras	2	1	1	0	7:3	4	4
3	Mirassol	2	1	1	0	4:3	1	4
4	Sao Paulo	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
5	Botafogo RJ	2	1	0	1	7:5	2	3
6	Chapecoense-SC	1	1	0	0	4:2	2	3
7	Gremio	2	1	0	1	6:5	1	3
8	Fluminense	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
9	Bahia	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
10	Athletico-PR	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
11	Vitoria	2	1	0	1	3:5	-2	3
12	Atletico-MG	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
13	Flamengo RJ	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
14	Internacional	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
15	Santos	2	0	1	1	3:5	-2	1
16	Remo	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
17	Vasco	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
18	Corinthians	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
19	Coritiba	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
20	Cruzeiro	1	0	0	1	0:4	-4	0

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