Mġarr United vs Vittoriosa Stars – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
15/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 4

Match Stats

Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
519
Shots on target
26
Corner kicks
13
Total shots
519
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
313
Corner kicks
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, Fenech M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 76', 1 - 1, Carabott S. ,

Chances of winning


Mġarr United
50.5%
Draw
22.5%
Vittoriosa Stars
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.2% 25.2% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 24.2% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mġarr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Vittoriosa Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mġarr United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vittoriosa Stars than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Mġarr United - Vittoriosa Stars Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.82)
    4
    (3.63)
    3.33
    (3.72)
    11.1%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • Mġarr United is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Vittoriosa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Vittoriosa has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Mġarr United is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mġarr United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mġarr United - Vittoriosa Stars were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Vittoriosa Stars - Mġarr United 1:0
    Latest results of Mġarr United
    Latest results of Vittoriosa Stars
    Maltese Challenge League Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mgarr1995538:261232
    2Gudja1968523:21226
    3Santa Lucia1958631:29223
    4Zurrieq19631030:32-221
    5Vittoriosa1946923:29-618
    6Marsa19361025:35-1013
    7Zebbug19341219:43-2413
    8Mtarfa1911179:83-74-2

          Relegation