Result
1:1
15/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 4
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 43', 1 - 0, Fenech M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 76', 1 - 1, Carabott S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mġarr United 50.5% | Draw 22.5% | Vittoriosa Stars 27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mġarr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Vittoriosa Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mġarr United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vittoriosa Stars than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Mġarr United - Vittoriosa Stars Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.78 ↓ (1.82) |
4 ↑ (3.63) |
3.33 ↓ (3.72) |
11.1% (9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Mġarr United is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Vittoriosa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Vittoriosa has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Mġarr United is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mġarr United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Mġarr United won against Vittoriosa Stars?
Mġarr United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vittoriosa Stars won against Mġarr United?
Vittoriosa Stars has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mġarr United - Vittoriosa Stars were as follows:
27.09.2025
Vittoriosa Stars
-
Mġarr United
1:0
Latest results of Mġarr United
Latest results of Vittoriosa Stars
Maltese Challenge League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mgarr | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 38:26 | 12 | 32 |
| 2 | Gudja | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 26 |
| 3 | Santa Lucia | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 31:29 | 2 | 23 |
| 4 | Zurrieq | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 21 |
| 5 | Vittoriosa | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 23:29 | -6 | 18 |
| 6 | Marsa | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 25:35 | -10 | 13 |
| 7 | Zebbug | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 19:43 | -24 | 13 |
| 8 | Mtarfa | 19 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9:83 | -74 | -2 |
Relegation