Vladyslav Orlov vs Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Mexico City Challenger Men Vladyslav Orlov - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
Result
0:2
07/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
11
Double Faults
211
1st Serve Percentage
50%61%
1st Serve Points Won
60% (21/35)69% (37/54)
2nd Serve Points Won
49% (17/35)40% (14/35)
Break Points Saved
44% (4/9)70% (7/10)
1st Return Points Won
33% (18/54)40% (14/35)
2nd Return Points Won
60% (21/35)51% (18/35)
Break Points Converted
30% (3/10)56% (5/9)
Service Points Won
54% (38/70)57% (51/89)
Return Points Won
43% (38/89)46% (32/70)
Total Points Won
48% (76/159)52% (83/159)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
55% (6/11)73% (8/11)
Return Games Won
27% (3/11)45% (5/11)
Total Games Won
41% (9/22)59% (13/22)

Chances of winning


Vladyslav Orlov
47.3%
Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3% 54.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vladyslav Orlov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vladyslav Orlov than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Vladyslav Orlov - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.08)

    1.76
    (1.68)
    7.7%
    (7.6%)
    What is the prediction for Vladyslav Orlov - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Orlov (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Vladyslav Orlov will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Orlov is ranked ATP: 580. Aguilar is ranked ATP: 482.
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Orlov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Alves M.2 : 0
    2Rodriguez Taverna S.Varillas J. P.0 : 2
    3Pavlovic L. (Alt)Napolitano S.2 : 0
    4Pacheco Mendez R.Galarneau A. (6)2 : 0
    5Mannarino A. (3)Mayo A.2 : 0
    6Mejia N.Cressy M. (Alt)2 : 0
    7Hernandez A. (WC)Sakamoto P. (Q)2 : 0
    8Tomic B.Paris T. (Alt)2 : 0
    9Ficovich J. P. (5)Perez A. (Q)0 : 2
    10Aguilar J. C. M. (Q)Martin A. (Q)0 : 2
    11Alujas R. (WC)Blanch Dar. (WC)1 : 2
    12Zhukayev B.Meligeni Alves F. (4)1 : 2
    13Huesler M. (7)Zahraj P.2 : 0
    14Janvier M.Oberleitner N. (Q)1 : 2
    15Soto M.Neuchrist M. (Q)2 : 0
    16Dougaz A.Tirante T. A. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Varillas J. P.1 : 2
    2Pavlovic L.Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 0
    3Mannarino A. (3)Mejia N.2 : 1
    4Hernandez A.Tomic B.0 : 2
    5Perez A.Martin A.2 : 0
    6Blanch Dar.Meligeni Alves F. (4)0 : 2
    7Huesler M. (7)Oberleitner N.2 : 0
    8Soto M.Dougaz A.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Varillas J. P.Pavlovic L.1 : 2
    2Mannarino A. (3)Tomic B.2 : 1
    3Perez A.Meligeni Alves F. (4)0 : 2
    4Huesler M. (7)Dougaz A.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Pavlovic L.Mannarino A. (3)2 : 0
    2Meligeni Alves F. (4)Huesler M. (7)2 : 1

    Final
    1Pavlovic L.Meligeni Alves F. (4)0 : 2