Result
1:0
01/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group B - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Castellanzese 66.1% | Draw 22.1% | Vogherese 11.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellanzese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castellanzese's performance.Vogherese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vogherese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (-21.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castellanzese that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vogherese than the current prediction. (+12.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vogherese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Castellanzese - Vogherese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.37 ↓ (1.72) |
4.1 ↑ (3.48) |
7.64 ↑ (4.4) |
10.5% (9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Castellanzese has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Vogherese is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Castellanzese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Castellanzese is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Castellanzese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellanzese won against Vogherese?
Castellanzese has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vogherese won against Castellanzese?
Vogherese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castellanzese - Vogherese were as follows:
26.10.2025
Vogherese
-
Castellanzese
0:1
Latest results of Castellanzese
Latest results of Vogherese
Italian Serie D - Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42:19 | 23 | 53 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 26 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 37:25 | 12 | 43 |
| 3 | Villa Valle | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | Chievo | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 37:35 | 2 | 43 |
| 5 | AC Milan U23 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 41:30 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Leon | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33:26 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Oltrepo | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Scanzorosciate | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 36 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 21:21 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Castellanzese | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 35 |
| 12 | Caldiero Terme | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 35 |
| 13 | Real Calepina | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 14 | Breno | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 31:38 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Varesina | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 27:34 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | Pavia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 27:41 | -14 | 24 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 22:52 | -30 | 19 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 15:39 | -24 | 8 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
Relegation