Result
1:3
09/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group B - Round 11
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', 1 - 0, Palma M. (Pen),
- 27', 1 - 1, Bonseri M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 69', 1 - 2, Ferre J. ⚽,
- 90+5', 1 - 3, Mascheroni S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Vogherese
38.4% | Draw
29.4% | Leon
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vogherese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vogherese's form might have worsened.Leon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vogherese than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vogherese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leon than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Vogherese - Leon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↑
(2) |
3.13 ↓
(3.3) |
2.86 ↓
(3.2) |
8.6%
(11.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 11).
- Recent performances by Vogherese have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Leon is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Vogherese will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Vogherese won against Leon?
Vogherese has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leon won against Vogherese?
Leon has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vogherese - Leon were as follows:
Latest results of Vogherese
Italian Serie D - Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42:19 | 23 | 53 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 26 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 37:25 | 12 | 43 |
| 3 | Villa Valle | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | Chievo | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 37:35 | 2 | 43 |
| 5 | AC Milan U23 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 41:30 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Leon | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33:26 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Oltrepo | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Scanzorosciate | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 36 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 21:21 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Castellanzese | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 35 |
| 12 | Caldiero Terme | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 35 |
| 13 | Real Calepina | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 14 | Breno | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 31:38 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Varesina | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 27:34 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | Pavia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 27:41 | -14 | 24 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 22:52 | -30 | 19 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 15:39 | -24 | 8 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
Relegation
