Result
1:0
21/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 24
- Referee: Higler D. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (292/377) | 73% (258/352) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (292/377) | 73% (258/352) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (27/64) | 30% (21/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (100/137) | 53% (47/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (2/25) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.50 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Brym C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Odoi D. ↓, Mahmutovic E. ↑,
- 56', Kwakman D. 🟨,
- 56', Kokcu O. ↓, Bacuna J. ↑,
- 64', Holtby L. ↓, Reulen P. ↑,
- 64', Salama A. ↓, Nassoh M. ↑,
- 76', van Cruijsen R. ↓, Ideho J. ↑,
- 76', Pauwels B. ↓, Oehlers A. ↑,
- 77', Ould-Chikh B. ↓, Bukala N. ↑,
- 80', Bukala N. 🟨,
- 81', Balard M. ↓, Paula R. ↑,
- 81', Valerius C. ↓, Lucassen B. ↑,
- 82', Ideho J. 🟨,
- 83', Kuwas B. ↓, Muhren R. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 0, Reulen P. ⚽, Paula R. (A),
Chances of winning
NAC Breda
58.7% | Draw
23.1% | Volendam
18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Volendam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
NAC Breda - Volendam Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.63) |
4.13 ↑
(3.82) |
5.15 ↑
(5.05) |
5.6%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Volendam?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Volendam will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Volendam: 28.1% – 78.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Breda (votes: 1 - 50%). Volendam (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Breda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Breda is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Volendam: Yah G.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Breda: Greiml L.
(Injury)
Jensen F.
(Injury)
Soumano M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Volendam: Bukala N.
(Inactive)
Descotte A.
(Inactive)
Ideho J.
(Inactive)
Veerman H.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Breda won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:7. (average 2.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against Volendam?
NAC Breda has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Volendam won against NAC Breda?
Volendam has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Volendam were as follows:
08.11.2025
Volendam
-
NAC Breda
2:1
26.07.2025
NAC Breda
-
Volendam
6:1
30.12.2022
Volendam
-
NAC Breda
4:1
Latest results of NAC Breda
Latest results of Volendam
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 28 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 78:37 | 41 | 68 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 61:40 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 69:47 | 22 | 50 |
| 4 | Ajax | 28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 53:35 | 18 | 48 |
| 5 | Twente | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 47:30 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 47:45 | 2 | 42 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 42:31 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 49:46 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 35:47 | -12 | 41 |
| 10 | Groningen | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 40:37 | 3 | 38 |
| 11 | Sittard | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 43:52 | -9 | 35 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 38:53 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 45:45 | 0 | 32 |
| 14 | Telstar | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 30:48 | -18 | 27 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 29:47 | -18 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 23 |
| 18 | Heracles | 28 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 33:70 | -37 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
