Result
2:1
18/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 19
- Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (301/375) | 83% (363/438) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (301/375) | 83% (363/438) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (22/60) | 54% (29/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (72/113) | 75% (83/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/9) | 38% (9/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.89 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 68% (15/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Ideho J. ⚽, Kuwas B. (A),
- 23', Ugwu P. 🟨,
- 28', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 0, Kuwas B. ⚽, Kwakman D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Zechiel G. ↓, de Wit D. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 1, Jensen V. ⚽, Haller S. (A),
- 59', Jensen V. ↓, Bozdogan C. ↑,
- 60', Oehlers A. ↓, van Cruijsen R. ↑,
- 70', Ugwu P. ↓, Payne D. ↑,
- 70', Kwakman D. ↓, Plat A. ↑,
- 75', Viergever N. ↓, Agougil O. ↑,
- 83', Didden M. 🟨,
- 83', Verschuren N. 🟨,
- 87', Engwanda A. ↓, Blake A. ↑,
- 87', Rodriguez M. ↓, van der Hoorn M. ↑,
- 90+1', El Karouani S. 🟨,
- 90+4', van Cruijsen R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Volendam
22.4% | Draw
25.5% | Utrecht
52.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Volendam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Volendam - Utrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.2 ↑
(3.94) |
3.71 ↓
(3.73) |
1.81 ↓
(1.84) |
5.9%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Volendam - Utrecht?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Volendam will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Utrecht will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Utrecht: 16.4% – 61.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Volendam (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Utrecht (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Volendam (4.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Volendam (votes: 3 - 75%). Utrecht (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volendam won 1.
- In recent matches, Volendam has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Utrecht is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Utrecht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Utrecht is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Volendam: Descotte A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Utrecht: Min D.
(Injury)
van den Berg D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Volendam: Veerman H.
(Injury)
Yah G.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Utrecht: Iqbal Z.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Volendam won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 0.8:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Volendam won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Volendam won against Utrecht?
Volendam has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against Volendam?
Utrecht has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Volendam - Utrecht were as follows:
18.10.2025
Utrecht
-
Volendam
3:1
04.02.2024
Utrecht
-
Volendam
4:2
06.10.2023
Volendam
-
Utrecht
1:0
02.04.2023
Utrecht
-
Volendam
0:0
12.11.2022
Volendam
-
Utrecht
0:4
Latest results of Volendam
Latest results of Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV ✔ | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 84:40 | 44 | 74 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 62:41 | 21 | 55 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 72:48 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Twente | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 51:32 | 19 | 53 |
| 5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 57:37 | 20 | 51 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 52:45 | 7 | 48 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 49:36 | 13 | 44 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 53:50 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Groningen | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42:37 | 5 | 42 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 35:49 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 50:45 | 5 | 36 |
| 12 | Sittard | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 44:55 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 40:60 | -20 | 34 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:50 | -19 | 28 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:51 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | Telstar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 39:52 | -13 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30:51 | -21 | 25 |
| 18 | Heracles | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 34:77 | -43 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSV is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
