Result
2:1
20/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 4
- Referee: Polychronis F. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (263/331) | 78% (286/365) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (263/331) | 78% (286/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (27/52) | 51% (34/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (52/77) | 59% (55/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.27 | -1.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Martinez D. 🟨,
- 14', Mendieta J. ↓, Bartolo J. ↑,
- 17', Macheda F. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 0, Lamprou L. ⚽, Fortuna N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 60', Comba M. 🟨,
- 63', Munoz Mumo ↓, Almyras C. ↑,
- 63', Ketu K. ↓, Emmanouilidis D. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 0, Fortuna N. ⚽,
- 75', Kaltsas N. 🟨,
- 76', Sylla I. ↓, Pomonis K. ↑,
- 77', Pomonis K. 🟨,
- 77', Martinez D. ↓, Assehnoun J. ↑,
- 77', Bartolo J. ↓, Charalampoglou G. ↑,
- 81', Kargas G. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 1, Macheda F. (Pen),
- 90', Lamprou L. ↓, Mygas G. ↑,
- 90', Joca ↓, Bouzoukis G. ↑,
- 90+1', Fernandez D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Volos 52.1% | Draw 30.3% | Asteras Tripolis 17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Volos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Volos's performance.Asteras Tripolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Asteras Tripolis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volos than the current prediction. (-19.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Volos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (+20.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Asteras Tripolis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Volos - Asteras Tripolis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.02 ↓ (2.81) |
3.5 ↑ (3.2) |
6.45 ↑ (2.53) |
-6.3% (6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Volos - Asteras Tripolis?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Volos will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Asteras Tripolis will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Volos (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volos won 3.
- Volos has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Asteras Tripolis is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Volos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Volos: Tsokanis A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Asteras Tripolis: Alagbe O.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Volos won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Volos won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Volos won against Asteras Tripolis?
Volos has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Asteras Tripolis won against Volos?
Asteras Tripolis has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Volos - Asteras Tripolis were as follows:
14.12.2024
Volos
-
Asteras Tripolis
2:1
25.08.2024
Asteras Tripolis
-
Volos
0:1
16.03.2024
Asteras Tripolis
-
Volos
0:2
14.01.2024
Asteras Tripolis
-
Volos
1:0
24.09.2023
Volos
-
Asteras Tripolis
1:2
Latest results of Asteras Tripolis
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PAOK | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:5 | 11 | 16 |
| 3 | AEK Athens FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Volos | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Levadiakos | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 11 |
| 6 | Aris | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Panathinaikos | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Kifisia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Panetolikos | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 10 | Atromitos | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | OFI Crete | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Panserraikos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
| 13 | AEL Larissa | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 14 | Asteras Tripolis | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )