Result
2:1
20/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 4
- Referee: Polychronis F. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.77 | 1.37 |
Ball Possession |
---|
48% | 52% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
79% (263/331) | 78% (286/365) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.77 | 1.37 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.54 | 1.27 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
20 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
79% (263/331) | 78% (286/365) |
Long passes |
---|
52% (27/52) | 51% (34/67) |
Passes in final third |
---|
68% (52/77) | 59% (55/93) |
Crosses |
---|
21% (4/19) | 32% (6/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.89 | 0.40 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
17 | 20 |
Tackles |
---|
85% (11/13) | 56% (9/16) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 55 |
Clearances |
---|
27 | 20 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.27 | 0.54 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.27 | -1.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Martinez D. 🟨,
- 14', Mendieta J. ↓, Bartolo J. ↑,
- 17', Macheda F. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 0, Lamprou L. ⚽, Fortuna N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 60', Comba M. 🟨,
- 63', Munoz Mumo ↓, Almyras C. ↑,
- 63', Ketu K. ↓, Emmanouilidis D. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 0, Fortuna N. ⚽,
- 75', Kaltsas N. 🟨,
- 76', Sylla I. ↓, Pomonis K. ↑,
- 77', Pomonis K. 🟨,
- 77', Martinez D. ↓, Assehnoun J. ↑,
- 77', Bartolo J. ↓, Charalampoglou G. ↑,
- 81', Kargas G. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 1, Macheda F. (Pen),
- 90', Lamprou L. ↓, Mygas G. ↑,
- 90', Joca ↓, Bouzoukis G. ↑,
- 90+1', Fernandez D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Volos 52.1% | Draw 30.3% | Asteras Tripolis 17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Volos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Volos's performance.Asteras Tripolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Asteras Tripolis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volos than the current prediction. (-19.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Volos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (+20.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Asteras Tripolis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Volos - Asteras Tripolis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.02 ↓ (2.81) |
3.5 ↑ (3.2) |
6.45 ↑ (2.53) |
-6.3% (6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Volos - Asteras Tripolis?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Volos will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Asteras Tripolis will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Volos (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volos won 3.
- Volos has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Asteras Tripolis is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Volos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Volos: Tsokanis A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Asteras Tripolis: Alagbe O.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Volos won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Volos won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Volos won against Asteras Tripolis?
Volos has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Asteras Tripolis won against Volos?
Asteras Tripolis has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Volos - Asteras Tripolis were as follows:
14.12.2024
Volos
-
Asteras Tripolis
2:1
25.08.2024
Asteras Tripolis
-
Volos
0:1
16.03.2024
Asteras Tripolis
-
Volos
0:2
14.01.2024
Asteras Tripolis
-
Volos
1:0
24.09.2023
Volos
-
Asteras Tripolis
1:2
Latest results of Asteras Tripolis
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:3 | 10 | 13 |
2 | AEK Athens FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 13 |
3 | PAOK | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 11 |
4 | Aris | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
5 | Levadiakos | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 7 |
6 | Kifisia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 7 |
7 | Volos | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
8 | Panathinaikos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
9 | Atromitos | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
10 | AEL Larissa | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Panetolikos | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
12 | OFI Crete | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 3 |
13 | Asteras Tripolis | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 2 |
14 | Panserraikos | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )