Result
2:1
29/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 29
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (306/355) | 89% (371/416) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (306/355) | 89% (371/416) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (28/53) | 74% (40/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (71/99) | 77% (79/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 38% (10/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 2.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Willian Bigode ⚽, Julio Cesar (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 1, Sanchez (Pen),
- 64', Yago Souza ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 72', Rai ↓, PK ↑,
- 72', MV ↓, Leo Ceara ↑,
- 73', Paulinho ↓, Yago Santos ↑,
- 74', Julio Cesar ↓, Maguinho ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Willian Bigode ⚽,
- 84', Arthur Sousa ↓, Miqueias ↑,
- 84', Andre Luiz ↓, Igor Maduro ↑,
- 84', Aloisio ↓, Emerson Santos ↑,
- 84', Joao Pedro ↓, Kayke ↑,
- 90+2', Jhonny ↓, Adsson ↑,
Chances of winning
América Mineiro
50% | Draw
28.9% | Volta Redonda
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
América Mineiro - Volta Redonda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↑
(1.83) |
3.26 ↓
(3.38) |
4.45 ↑
(4.15) |
6.3%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Volta Redonda?
Users Predictions:
América Mineiro will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): América Mineiro will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, América MG is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Knee Injury)
Dalbert
(Injury)
Fabinho
(Ankle Injury)
Felipe Amaral
(Yellow Cards)
Guilherme Pato
(Injury)
Heber
(Injury)
Maguinho
(Injury)
Mariano
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Volta Redonda: Du Fernandes
(Inactive)
Vitinho Lopes
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Volta Redonda: Chay
(Injury)
Fabricio
(Inactive)
Marquinhos
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, América MG won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Volta Redonda?
América Mineiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Volta Redonda won against América Mineiro?
Volta Redonda has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Volta Redonda were as follows:
01.06.2025
Volta Redonda
-
América Mineiro
1:0
Latest results of América Mineiro
Latest results of Volta Redonda
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Avai | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Operario-PR | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Botafogo SP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Nautico | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Ceara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Vila Nova FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Londrina | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Sao Bernardo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Criciuma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | CRB | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Novorizontino | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 16 | Cuiaba | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Ponte Preta | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | America MG | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Juventude | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Atletico GO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
