Result
2:1
29/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 29
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.02 | 1.69 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
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11 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 3 |
Passes |
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86% (306/355) | 89% (371/416) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.02 | 1.69 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.19 | 0.88 |
Total shots |
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11 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
18 | 21 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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15 | 14 |
Passes |
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86% (306/355) | 89% (371/416) |
Long passes |
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53% (28/53) | 74% (40/54) |
Passes in final third |
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72% (71/99) | 77% (79/103) |
Crosses |
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20% (5/25) | 38% (10/26) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.87 | 0.76 |
Throw-ins |
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15 | 19 |
Fouls |
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14 | 15 |
Tackles |
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56% (5/9) | 67% (8/12) |
Duels won |
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37 | 38 |
Clearances |
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21 | 35 |
Interceptions |
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8 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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0.88 | 2.19 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.12 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Willian Bigode ⚽, Julio Cesar (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 1, Sanchez (Pen),
- 64', Yago Souza ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 72', Rai ↓, PK ↑,
- 72', MV ↓, Leo Ceara ↑,
- 73', Paulinho ↓, Yago Santos ↑,
- 74', Julio Cesar ↓, Maguinho ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Willian Bigode ⚽,
- 84', Arthur Sousa ↓, Miqueias ↑,
- 84', Andre Luiz ↓, Igor Maduro ↑,
- 84', Aloisio ↓, Emerson Santos ↑,
- 84', Joao Pedro ↓, Kayke ↑,
- 90+2', Jhonny ↓, Adsson ↑,
Chances of winning
América Mineiro 50% | Draw 28.9% | Volta Redonda 21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
América Mineiro - Volta Redonda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.88 ↑ (1.83) |
3.26 ↓ (3.38) |
4.45 ↑ (4.15) |
6.3% (8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Volta Redonda?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. América MG (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
América Mineiro will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, América MG is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Knee Injury)
Dalbert
(Injury)
Fabinho
(Ankle Injury)
Felipe Amaral
(Yellow Cards)
Guilherme Pato
(Injury)
Heber
(Injury)
Maguinho
(Injury)
Mariano
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Volta Redonda: Du Fernandes
(Inactive)
Vitinho Lopes
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Volta Redonda: Chay
(Injury)
Fabricio
(Inactive)
Marquinhos
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, América MG won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Volta Redonda?
América Mineiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Volta Redonda won against América Mineiro?
Volta Redonda has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Volta Redonda were as follows:
01.06.2025
Volta Redonda
-
América Mineiro
1:0
Latest results of América Mineiro
Latest results of Volta Redonda
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coritiba | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 34:21 | 13 | 56 |
2 | Novorizontino | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 54 |
3 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 53 |
4 | Goias | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 52 |
5 | Chapecoense-SC | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 44:31 | 13 | 51 |
6 | Remo | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 39:31 | 8 | 51 |
7 | Athletico-PR | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Cuiaba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 49 |
9 | CRB | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 38:33 | 5 | 47 |
10 | Atletico GO | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
11 | Avai | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 44 |
12 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 43 |
13 | Operario-PR | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
14 | America MG | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:39 | -5 | 37 |
15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
16 | Ferroviaria | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 |
17 | Volta Redonda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 22:34 | -12 | 34 |
18 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 33 |
19 | Amazonas | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 32 |
20 | Paysandu PA | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )