América Mineiro vs Volta Redonda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
29/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 29
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.021.69
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
86% (306/355)89% (371/416)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.021.69
xG on target (xGOT)
2.190.88
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
1821
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1514
Passes
86% (306/355)89% (371/416)
Long passes
53% (28/53)74% (40/54)
Passes in final third
72% (71/99)77% (79/103)
Crosses
20% (5/25)38% (10/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.870.76
Throw-ins
1519
Fouls
1415
Tackles
56% (5/9)67% (8/12)
Duels won
3738
Clearances
2135
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.882.19
Goals prevented
-0.120.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Willian Bigode , Julio Cesar (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', 1 - 1, Sanchez (Pen),
  • 64', Yago Souza , Fabinho ,
  • 72', Rai , PK ,
  • 72', MV , Leo Ceara ,
  • 73', Paulinho , Yago Santos ,
  • 74', Julio Cesar , Maguinho ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Willian Bigode ,
  • 84', Arthur Sousa , Miqueias ,
  • 84', Andre Luiz , Igor Maduro ,
  • 84', Aloisio , Emerson Santos ,
  • 84', Joao Pedro , Kayke ,
  • 90+2', Jhonny , Adsson ,

Chances of winning


América Mineiro
50%
Draw
28.9%
Volta Redonda
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 27.3% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 26.4% 21.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • América Mineiro - Volta Redonda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.83)
    3.26
    (3.38)
    4.45
    (4.15)
    6.3%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Volta Redonda?
  • Users Predictions: América Mineiro will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): América Mineiro will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, América MG is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in América MG: Ale (Knee Injury) Dalbert (Injury) Fabinho (Ankle Injury) Felipe Amaral (Yellow Cards) Guilherme Pato (Injury) Heber (Injury) Maguinho (Injury) Mariano (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Volta Redonda: Du Fernandes (Inactive) Vitinho Lopes (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Volta Redonda: Chay (Injury) Fabricio (Inactive) Marquinhos (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, América MG won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Volta Redonda were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Volta Redonda - América Mineiro 1:0
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Latest results of Volta Redonda
    24.09.2025 Volta Redonda - Remo 2:1
    20.09.2025 Amazonas - Volta Redonda 1:0
    12.09.2025 Volta Redonda - Criciúma 0:0
    05.09.2025 Paysandu - Volta Redonda 1:2
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vila Nova FC633011:8312
    2Fortaleza63216:7-111
    3Sao Bernardo63128:5310
    4Criciuma63128:6210
    5Juventude63125:4110
    6Ceara62408:5310
    7Sport Recife62406:4210
    8Nautico63034:6-29
    9Operario-PR62314:319
    10Botafogo SP62229:638
    11Avai62227:618
    12Novorizontino62227:618
    13Athletic Club62228:808
    14Atletico GO62137:8-17
    15Ponte Preta62135:6-17
    16Goias62136:8-27
    17Cuiaba61413:307
    18Londrina61237:8-15
    19CRB60246:11-52
    20America MG60243:10-72

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )