Result
3:2
19/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 17
- Referee: dos Santos F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 2.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (261/334) | 81% (376/465) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 2.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (261/334) | 81% (376/465) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (15/55) | 43% (26/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (49/81) | 66% (89/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
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| 55 | 45 |
| Clearances |
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| 27 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.36 | -1.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 24', 0 - 1, Alan Kardec ⚽, Esquivel L. (A),
- 39', 0 - 2, Zapelli B. ⚽, Moraes K. (A),
- 41', Leo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Lucas Tocantins ↓, Andre Luiz ↑,
- 46', Bruno Barra ↓, PK ↑,
- 47', PK 🟨,
- 51', Gabriel Bahia 🟨,
- 51', Felipinho 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 2, MV ⚽, Rai (A),
- 63', Patrick ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
- 63', Alan Kardec ↓, Viveros K. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 2, Andre Luiz ⚽, Pierre (A),
- 77', Jhonny ↓, Wellington Silva ↑,
- 77', Pierre ↓, Chay ↑,
- 81', 3 - 2, Italo ⚽, PK (A),
- 83', Zapelli B. ↓, Giuliano ↑,
- 83', Felipinho ↓, Leozinho ↑,
- 84', Rai ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 89', Raul ↓, Renan Peixoto ↑,
- 90+1', Giuliano 🟨,
- 90+1', Esquivel L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Sanchez 🟨,
- 90+4', Esquivel L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Volta Redonda
31.3% | Draw
33.3% | Athletico Paranaense
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Volta Redonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletico Paranaense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Volta Redonda - Athletico Paranaense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.03 ↓
(3.06) |
2.81 ↓
(3.23) |
2.61 ↑
(2.31) |
6.9%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Volta Redonda - Athletico Paranaense?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Volta Redonda will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Volta Redonda: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Volta Redonda (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 8).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Athletico PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Volta Redonda: Du Fernandes
(Inactive)
Fabricio
(Inactive)
Lucas Adell
(Injury)
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Dudu Marques
(Inactive)
Isaac
(Inactive)
Julimar
(Knee Injury)
Madson
(Inactive)
Palacios H.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Volta Redonda: Caio Roque
(Inactive)
Marquinhos
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Athletico PR: Luiz Fernando
(Injury)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Volta Redonda won against Athletico Paranaense?
Volta Redonda has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Volta Redonda?
Athletico Paranaense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Volta Redonda - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
Latest results of Volta Redonda
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 41 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 39 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 24:17 | 7 | 36 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | Remo | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 23:19 | 4 | 33 |
| 6 | Avai | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:21 | 8 | 32 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24:24 | 0 | 31 |
| 8 | Criciuma | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 23:18 | 5 | 29 |
| 9 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 27 |
| 11 | Operario-PR | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23:22 | 1 | 26 |
| 12 | Athletico-PR | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 26 |
| 13 | Ferroviaria | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 22:23 | -1 | 26 |
| 14 | CRB | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 24 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 22 |
| 17 | America MG | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 14:30 | -16 | 21 |
| 19 | Paysandu PA | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 19:22 | -3 | 21 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 21:29 | -8 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
