Result
2:0
04/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 20
- Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (308/368) | 86% (433/505) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (308/368) | 86% (433/505) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (22/43) | 51% (27/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (54/89) | 65% (66/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 1.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Rai 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Alisson Safira (Pen),
- 35', Juninho Monteiro 🟨,
- 40', Jader 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Juninho Monteiro ↓, Caio Roque ↑,
- 46', Rai ↓, Leo Ceara ↑,
- 46', Jader ↓, David Miguel ↑,
- 46', PK ↓, Chay ↑,
- 60', 2 - 0, Martinez A. ⚽,
- 63', Jhonny ↓, Matheus Lucas ↑,
- 63', Italo ↓, Kayke ↑,
- 67', Alisson Safira ↓, Nathan Cruz ↑,
- 74', Carlos Alberto ↓, Juan Christian ↑,
- 74', Calebe Costa ↓, De Lucca ↑,
- 76', Guilherme Nogueira 🟨,
- 79', Matheusinho ↓, Guilherme Mariano ↑,
- 90+5', Gabriel Bahia 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cuiabá
50.4% | Draw
29.5% | Volta Redonda
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cuiabá's form might have worsened.Volta Redonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cuiabá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Volta Redonda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cuiabá - Volta Redonda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.66) |
3.14 ↓
(3.27) |
4.68 ↓
(6.13) |
7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Volta Redonda?
Users Predictions:
Cuiabá will win
(18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cuiabá will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Cuiabá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cuiabá is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur
(Injury)
Asad Y.
(Injury)
Mateus Pasinato
(Inactive)
Pedrinho
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Volta Redonda: Du Fernandes
(Inactive)
Sanchez
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Volta Redonda: Caio Roque
(Inactive)
Marquinhos
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Cuiabá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Volta Redonda?
Cuiabá has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Volta Redonda won against Cuiabá?
Volta Redonda has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Volta Redonda were as follows:
06.04.2025
Volta Redonda
-
Cuiabá
0:1
Latest results of Volta Redonda
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 34:21 | 13 | 56 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 54 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 53 |
| 4 | Goias | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 52 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 44:31 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Remo | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 39:31 | 8 | 51 |
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 49 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | CRB | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 38:33 | 5 | 47 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Avai | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 44 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 43 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 | America MG | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:39 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 22:34 | -12 | 34 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 33 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 32 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
