Cuiabá vs Volta Redonda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Cuiabá - Volta Redonda
Result
2:0
04/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 20
  • Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.010.17
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
197
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
84% (308/368)86% (433/505)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.010.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.990.06
Total shots
197
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
91
Shots inside the Box
121
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
214
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1119
Passes
84% (308/368)86% (433/505)
Long passes
51% (22/43)51% (27/53)
Passes in final third
61% (54/89)65% (66/102)
Crosses
47% (8/17)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.32
Throw-ins
2016
Fouls
1911
Tackles
69% (9/13)58% (7/12)
Duels won
4943
Clearances
2215
Interceptions
1214
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.061.99
Goals prevented
0.06-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', Rai 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Alisson Safira (Pen),
  • 35', Juninho Monteiro 🟨,
  • 40', Jader 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Juninho Monteiro , Caio Roque ,
  • 46', Rai , Leo Ceara ,
  • 46', Jader , David Miguel ,
  • 46', PK , Chay ,
  • 60', 2 - 0, Martinez A. ,
  • 63', Jhonny , Matheus Lucas ,
  • 63', Italo , Kayke ,
  • 67', Alisson Safira , Nathan Cruz ,
  • 74', Carlos Alberto , Juan Christian ,
  • 74', Calebe Costa , De Lucca ,
  • 76', Guilherme Nogueira 🟨,
  • 79', Matheusinho , Guilherme Mariano ,
  • 90+5', Gabriel Bahia 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cuiabá
50.4%
Draw
29.5%
Volta Redonda
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 28.6% 15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 27.7% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cuiabá's form might have worsened.
  • Volta Redonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cuiabá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Volta Redonda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cuiabá - Volta Redonda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.66)
    3.14
    (3.27)
    4.68
    (6.13)
    7%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Cuiabá - Volta Redonda?
  • Users Predictions: Cuiabá will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.74%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cuiabá will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Cuiabá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Cuiabá is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur (Injury) Asad Y. (Injury) Mateus Pasinato (Inactive) Pedrinho (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Volta Redonda: Du Fernandes (Inactive) Sanchez (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Volta Redonda: Caio Roque (Inactive) Marquinhos (Inactive)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Cuiabá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cuiabá - Volta Redonda were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Volta Redonda - Cuiabá 0:1
    Latest results of Cuiabá
    29.07.2025 Criciúma - Cuiabá 1:0
    23.07.2025 Cuiabá - América Mineiro 3:1
    19.07.2025 Goiás - Cuiabá 3:1
    15.07.2025 Cuiabá - Amazonas 3:1
    05.07.2025 Remo - Cuiabá 0:0
    Latest results of Volta Redonda
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias24135631:23844
    2Coritiba24127524:16843
    3Chapecoense-SC24125736:221441
    4Criciuma24116731:211039
    5Novorizontino2499626:23336
    6Remo24811524:21335
    7CRB241041026:22434
    8Vila Nova FC241041024:24034
    9Cuiaba2497829:29034
    10Operario-PR2496926:23333
    11Athletico-PR2496931:33-233
    12Avai2489730:25533
    13Ferroviaria24710727:26131
    14Atletico GO24710726:26031
    15Athletic Club24841226:33-728
    16Botafogo SP24771020:33-1328
    17America MG24741325:32-725
    18Amazonas24591025:34-924
    19Volta Redonda24581114:26-1223
    20Paysandu PA24491120:29-921

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )