Result
1:2
05/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 25
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (260/318) | 89% (422/473) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (260/318) | 89% (422/473) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (25/50) | 61% (25/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (52/83) | 79% (108/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (8/27) | 31% (9/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 2.00 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.03 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Thalisson ⚽, Thiago Heleno (A),
- 34', Chavez Cruz L. L. ↓, Daniel Cabral ↑,
- 34', Andre Luiz ↓, Chay ↑,
- 45', Marlon Douglas 🟨,
- 45+2', Leandro Vilela 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Reverson ↓, Patric Calmon ↑,
- 46', Thalisson ↓, Mauricio Antonio ↑,
- 47', Juninho Monteiro 🟨,
- 53', Juninho Monteiro ↓, Sanchez ↑,
- 57', Edinho ↓, Rossi ↑,
- 62', MV ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
- 62', Kayke ↓, Matheus Lucas ↑,
- 63', Leandro Vilela ↓, Dudu Vieira ↑,
- 71', Marlon Douglas ↓, Vinicius Faria ↑,
- 82', Gabriel Mesquita 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 1, Gabriel Pinheiro ⚽, Jhonny (A),
- 90+4', Rossi 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Rai ⚽, Chay (A),
- 90+5', Rai 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paysandu
48.3% | Draw
29.2% | Volta Redonda
22.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Paysandu - Volta Redonda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↓
(2.11) |
3.18 ↑
(3.1) |
4.1 ↑
(3.45) |
6.7%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Paysandu - Volta Redonda?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Volta Redonda will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Paysandu (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 1.
- Paysandu has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Volta Redonda is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Paysandu might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Paysandu: Denner
(Injury)
Matheus Vargas
(Injury)
- There will not play in Volta Redonda: Du Fernandes
(Inactive)
Wellington Silva
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Paysandu: Rossi
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Volta Redonda: Marquinhos
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paysandu won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Volta Redonda?
Paysandu has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Volta Redonda won against Paysandu?
Volta Redonda has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paysandu - Volta Redonda were as follows:
03.05.2025
Volta Redonda
-
Paysandu
1:0
07.10.2023
Volta Redonda
-
Paysandu
1:0
03.09.2023
Paysandu
-
Volta Redonda
1:1
28.05.2023
Volta Redonda
-
Paysandu
3:0
Latest results of Paysandu
Latest results of Volta Redonda
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 34:21 | 13 | 56 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 54 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 53 |
| 4 | Goias | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 52 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 44:31 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Remo | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 39:31 | 8 | 51 |
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 49 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | CRB | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 38:33 | 5 | 47 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Avai | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 44 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 43 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 | America MG | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:39 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 22:34 | -12 | 34 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 33 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 32 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
