Result
1:2
05/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 25
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.21 | 1.01 |
Ball Possession |
---|
41% | 59% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
82% (260/318) | 89% (422/473) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.21 | 1.01 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.98 | 0.97 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 10 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 10 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 9 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
21 | 21 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
1 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
82% (260/318) | 89% (422/473) |
Long passes |
---|
50% (25/50) | 61% (25/41) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (52/83) | 79% (108/137) |
Crosses |
---|
30% (8/27) | 31% (9/29) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.46 | 2.00 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 1 |
Tackles |
---|
75% (12/16) | 75% (12/16) |
Duels won |
---|
36 | 41 |
Clearances |
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27 | 34 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.97 | 0.98 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.03 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Thalisson ⚽, Thiago Heleno (A),
- 34', Chavez Cruz L. L. ↓, Daniel Cabral ↑,
- 34', Andre Luiz ↓, Chay ↑,
- 45', Marlon Douglas 🟨,
- 45+2', Leandro Vilela 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Reverson ↓, Patric Calmon ↑,
- 46', Thalisson ↓, Mauricio Antonio ↑,
- 47', Juninho Monteiro 🟨,
- 53', Juninho Monteiro ↓, Sanchez ↑,
- 57', Edinho ↓, Rossi ↑,
- 62', MV ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
- 62', Kayke ↓, Matheus Lucas ↑,
- 63', Leandro Vilela ↓, Dudu Vieira ↑,
- 71', Marlon Douglas ↓, Vinicius Faria ↑,
- 82', Gabriel Mesquita 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 1, Gabriel Pinheiro ⚽, Jhonny (A),
- 90+4', Rossi 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Rai ⚽, Chay (A),
- 90+5', Rai 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paysandu 48.3% | Draw 29.2% | Volta Redonda 22.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Paysandu - Volta Redonda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.97 ↓ (2.11) |
3.18 ↑ (3.1) |
4.1 ↑ (3.45) |
6.7% (8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Paysandu - Volta Redonda?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Volta Redonda will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Paysandu (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 1.
- Paysandu has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Volta Redonda is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Paysandu might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Paysandu: Denner
(Injury)
Matheus Vargas
(Injury)
- There will not play in Volta Redonda: Du Fernandes
(Inactive)
Wellington Silva
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Paysandu: Rossi
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Volta Redonda: Marquinhos
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paysandu won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Volta Redonda?
Paysandu has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Volta Redonda won against Paysandu?
Volta Redonda has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paysandu - Volta Redonda were as follows:
03.05.2025
Volta Redonda
-
Paysandu
1:0
07.10.2023
Volta Redonda
-
Paysandu
1:0
03.09.2023
Paysandu
-
Volta Redonda
1:1
28.05.2023
Volta Redonda
-
Paysandu
3:0
Latest results of Paysandu
Latest results of Volta Redonda
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Goias | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 33:25 | 8 | 48 |
2 | Coritiba | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 28:17 | 11 | 47 |
3 | Criciuma | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 34:21 | 13 | 46 |
4 | Novorizontino | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 43 |
5 | Athletico-PR | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:36 | 3 | 42 |
6 | Chapecoense-SC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 38:28 | 10 | 41 |
7 | Cuiaba | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 41 |
8 | Remo | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 28:24 | 4 | 39 |
9 | Atletico GO | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 38 |
10 | CRB | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 28:24 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Avai | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 35:30 | 5 | 37 |
12 | Vila Nova FC | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 26:28 | -2 | 36 |
13 | Operario-PR | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
14 | Athletic Club | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:35 | -6 | 32 |
15 | Ferroviaria | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 30:34 | -4 | 32 |
16 | America MG | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 27:33 | -6 | 30 |
17 | Botafogo SP | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:39 | -17 | 29 |
18 | Amazonas | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 27 |
19 | Volta Redonda | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 27 |
20 | Paysandu PA | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 21:32 | -11 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )