Result
2:2
25/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (195/278) | 75% (243/325) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 2.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (195/278) | 75% (243/325) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (24/57) | 51% (39/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (70/112) | 66% (83/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (8/30) | 39% (11/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 48', Reid T. 🟨,
- 49', Vidjeskog A. 🟨,
- 50', 0 - 1, Dekker T. ⚽, Reid T. (A),
- 60', Sotelo G. 🟨,
- 62', 1 - 1, Vidjeskog A. ⚽,
- 64', Vidjeskog A. ↓, Vikstrom R. ↑,
- 64', Sotelo G. ↓, Valencic F. ↑,
- 66', El Ouatki Y. ↓, Wilson W. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 1, Ogungbaro M. ⚽, Kahkonen S. (A),
- 71', 2 - 2, Fall M. ⚽,
- 78', Pedro Justiniano 🟨,
- 83', Pedro Justiniano ↓, Daoussi Y. ↑,
- 87', Kahkonen S. ↓, Remesaho J. ↑,
- 87', Bjonback A. ↓, Ramsay A. ↑,
- 90+3', Gunnarsson E. 🟨,
- 90+6', Niemi M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
FF Jaro
27.1% | Draw
27.7% | VPS Vaasa
45.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FF Jaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)VPS Vaasa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FF Jaro than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
FF Jaro - VPS Vaasa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.46 ↑
(3.09) |
3.41 ↓
(3.43) |
2.1 ↓
(2.26) |
5.9%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for FF Jaro - VPS Vaasa?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Jaro will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). VPS will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for VPS: 29.2% – 76.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Jaro (votes: 1 - 33.3%). VPS (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaro won 2.
- Jaro is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- VPS is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- VPS is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Jaro: Cissoko K.
(Red Card)
Remesaho J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in VPS: Lindeman S.
(Inactive)
Ronnberg V.
(Inactive)
Smyth L.
(Inactive)
Vahtera J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jaro won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 27:30. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jaro won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has FF Jaro won against VPS Vaasa?
FF Jaro has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has VPS Vaasa won against FF Jaro?
VPS Vaasa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FF Jaro - VPS Vaasa were as follows:
11.06.2025
FF Jaro
-
VPS Vaasa
3:2
17.05.2025
VPS Vaasa
-
FF Jaro
0:0
25.01.2025
VPS Vaasa
-
FF Jaro
2:0
Latest results of FF Jaro
Latest results of VPS Vaasa
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku ✔ | 19 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 43:16 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | KuPS ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 37 |
| 3 | Ilves ✔ | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 40:26 | 14 | 36 |
| 4 | HJK ✔ | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 45:25 | 20 | 35 |
| 5 | SJK ✔ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 37:28 | 9 | 34 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 30:35 | -5 | 24 |
| 7 | Jaro | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 22 |
| 8 | VPS | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 21 |
| 9 | Mariehamn | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 19:38 | -19 | 18 |
| 10 | Haka | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 25:39 | -14 | 15 |
| 12 | KTP ✔ | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 21:45 | -24 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
KuPS is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
HJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
SJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
KTP is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
