Result
0:6
21/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Italy | Como TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 10 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 4.88 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (325/405) | 84% (412/491) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 4.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 4.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 17 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 46 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (325/405) | 84% (412/491) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (36/56) | 40% (21/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (48/84) | 71% (92/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 3.69 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 71% (17/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.61 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.39 | 0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Livaja M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 19', Maresic D. 🟨,
- 33', 0 - 2, Brajkovic R. ⚽, Rebic A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 4)
- 46', Elez J. ↓, Vlasenko N. ↑,
- 46', Caic V. ↓, Cabrajic K. ↑,
- 47', 0 - 3, Rebic A. ⚽, Brajkovic R. (A),
- 61', Hrgovic S. ↓, Melnjak D. ↑,
- 63', 0 - 4, Pukstas R. ⚽, Livaja M. (A),
- 67', Brajkovic R. ↓, Sanyang A. ↑,
- 67', Livaja M. ↓, Sego M. ↑,
- 73', Pukstas R. ↓, Kalik A. ↑,
- 73', Rebic A. ↓, Durdov B. ↑,
- 73', Zivkovic M. ↓, Butic S. ↑,
- 73', Bosec A. ↓, Calhanoglu K. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 5, Sego M. ⚽, Melnjak D. (A),
- 89', 0 - 6, Vlasenko N. (Own goal),
- 89', Ticinovic M. ↓, Sabanovic H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vukovar 91 19% | Draw 25.6% | Hajduk Split 55.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vukovar 91 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Hajduk Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vukovar 91 than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (-2%)
Vukovar 91 - Hajduk Split Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.89 ↑ (4.37) |
3.64 ↑ (3.49) |
1.68 ↓ (1.77) |
7.4% (8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Vukovar 91 - Hajduk Split?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Vukovar 91 will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Hajduk will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hajduk: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Vukovar 91 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Hajduk's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Hajduk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hajduk is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Vukovar 91: Banovec L.
(Yellow Cards)
Biljan J.
(Inactive)
Shabani E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Hajduk: Almena I.
(Inactive)
Hodak L.
(Inactive)
Ivusic I.
(Injury)
Pajaziti A.
(Red Card)
Sarlija Z.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Vukovar 91: Pavicic K.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vukovar 91 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Vukovar 91 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Vukovar 91 won against Hajduk Split?
Vukovar 91 has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hajduk Split won against Vukovar 91?
Hajduk Split has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vukovar 91 - Hajduk Split were as follows:
21.12.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Vukovar 91
2:1
04.10.2025
Vukovar 91
-
Hajduk Split
0:1
Latest results of Vukovar 91
Latest results of Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 28 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 75:22 | 53 | 66 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 48:26 | 22 | 56 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39:31 | 8 | 41 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:39 | -4 | 38 |
| 5 | Istra 1961 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 34:40 | -6 | 36 |
| 6 | Slaven Belupo | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 36 |
| 7 | Gorica | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 34:39 | -5 | 32 |
| 8 | Lok. Zagreb | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 32:46 | -14 | 31 |
| 9 | Osijek | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 22:43 | -21 | 25 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27:53 | -26 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL