Result
2:1
24/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 19
- Referee: Terzic A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (276/362) | 68% (237/346) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (276/362) | 68% (237/346) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (21/49) | 20% (14/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (60/100) | 43% (37/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 34 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Puljic J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', 1 - 1, Vukovic D. ⚽, Subotic M. (A),
- 53', Shabani E. 🟨,
- 61', Kulusic L. 🟨,
- 76', 2 - 1, Pajac M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 78', Caic V. 🟨,
- 80', Butic S. ↓, Calhanoglu K. ↑,
- 84', Zivkovic M. 🟨,
- 86', Jurilj A. ↓, Gurlica J. ↑,
- 88', Vukovic D. ↓, Dajcer L. ↑,
- 90+1', Trajkovski A. ↓, Sobol H. ↑,
- 90+5', Subotic M. ↓, Kamenovic D. ↑,
- 90+7', Stojakovic A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lokomotiva Zagreb
52.5% | Draw
26.1% | Vukovar 91
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiva Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Vukovar 91 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiva Zagreb, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vukovar 91 than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Lokomotiva Zagreb - Vukovar 91 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↑
(1.65) |
3.59 ↓
(3.95) |
4.34 ↓
(4.72) |
6.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lokomotiva Zagreb - Vukovar 91?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Lokomotiva (1.30) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lokomotiva Zagreb will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lokomotiva Zagreb will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Lokomotiva (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 9).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Vukovar 91 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lokomotiva is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Lokomotiva: Boskovic B.
(Yellow Cards)
Leovac M.
(Injury)
Sigali L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Vukovar 91: Djakovic A.
(Injury)
Gonzalez R.
(Yellow Cards)
Markovic M.
(Muscle Injury)
Spoljaric J.
(Leg Injury)
Suver J.
(Inactive)
Tadic M.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Lokomotiva: Antolic D.
(Inactive)
Lorber M.
(Injury)
Situm M.
(Inactive)
Vesovic M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Lokomotiva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Vukovar 91?
Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vukovar 91 won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Vukovar 91 has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiva Zagreb - Vukovar 91 were as follows:
17.10.2025
Vukovar 91
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
1:1
01.08.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Vukovar 91
1:0
29.11.2023
Vukovar 91
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
1:2
Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
Latest results of Vukovar 91
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 23 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 52:17 | 35 | 51 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 35:20 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 34:25 | 9 | 32 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 32 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 32:36 | -4 | 31 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 30 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 29:35 | -6 | 29 |
| 8 | Gorica | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 26 |
| 9 | Vukovar 1991 | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 26:41 | -15 | 20 |
| 10 | Osijek | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 19:36 | -17 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
