VVV-Venlo vs MVV Maastricht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
21/09/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 7
  • Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.000.57
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
83% (415/503)68% (208/306)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.000.57
xG on target (xGOT)
1.190.22
Total shots
188
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2417
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
178
Passes
83% (415/503)68% (208/306)
Long passes
47% (27/58)34% (21/62)
Passes in final third
68% (95/139)51% (40/79)
Crosses
13% (3/23)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.58
Throw-ins
2716
Fouls
817
Tackles
68% (13/19)62% (18/29)
Duels won
6259
Clearances
1833
Interceptions
1810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.221.19
Goals prevented
0.220.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Matoug N. 🟨,
  • 37', Dicke F. 🟨,
  • 40', Dicke F. , Coomans W. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kuipers M. , Verheijen T. ,
  • 51', Braken S. , Foubert L. ,
  • 60', Van Dessel S. 🟨,
  • 60', Triep J. , Kromah L. ,
  • 60', van Zijl B. , van Oorschot D. ,
  • 64', van Oorschot D. 🟨,
  • 69', Ait Mouhou N. , Wehmeyer L. ,
  • 69', Odriss M. , Foor N. ,
  • 73', Silva Timas I. 🟨,
  • 77', Camil Mmaee , El Basri N. ,
  • 78', Eijgenraam J. , de Blok L. ,
  • 78', Davis M. , Mokono S. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 0, Mokono S. ,
  • 90+2', Van Dessel S. , Asante D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


VVV-Venlo
52.4%
Draw
24.9%
MVV Maastricht
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.8% 21.4% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5% 20.9% 22.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • MVV Maastricht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • VVV-Venlo - MVV Maastricht Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.66)
    3.72
    (4.4)
    4.17
    (4.33)
    5.9%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for VVV-Venlo - MVV Maastricht?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Maastricht will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Venlo (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Venlo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 19).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 1.
    • Venlo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Maastricht's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Venlo is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:12. (average 1.8:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Venlo won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:5. (average 1.9:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between VVV-Venlo - MVV Maastricht were as follows:
    09.02.2025 VVV-Venlo - MVV Maastricht 0:0
    13.10.2024 MVV Maastricht - VVV-Venlo 2:0
    10.05.2024 MVV Maastricht - VVV-Venlo 2:0
    13.08.2023 VVV-Venlo - MVV Maastricht 1:3
    03.03.2023 MVV Maastricht - VVV-Venlo 0:1
    Latest results of VVV-Venlo
    16.09.2025 FC Oss - VVV-Venlo 2:1
    13.09.2025 VVV-Venlo - Helmond Sport 2:1
    31.08.2025 Cambuur - VVV-Venlo 3:1
    24.08.2025 VVV-Venlo - Roda 3:1
    15.08.2025 VVV-Venlo - Jong PSV 0:2
    Latest results of MVV Maastricht
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag28212569:303965
    2Cambuur26176355:292657
    3De Graafschap28146852:411148
    4Jong PSV281441058:52646
    5Roda28129747:41645
    6Willem II28127938:36243
    7Dordrecht281171038:37140
    8Almere City271231255:451039
    9Waalwijk281081045:43238
    10Den Bosch281151249:51-238
    11Venlo281141338:42-437
    12Eindhoven FC281041440:51-1134
    13Jong Utrecht27891045:48-333
    14Helmond28951435:48-1332
    15FC Emmen26861242:48-630
    16Jong AZ28931649:55-630
    17Maastricht28861432:55-2330
    18Oss28691334:48-1427
    19Vitesse28991041:45-424
    20Jong Ajax28581535:52-1723

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