Result
1:0
21/09/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 7
- Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (415/503) | 68% (208/306) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.00 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.19 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
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| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 24 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 17 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (415/503) | 68% (208/306) |
| Long passes |
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| 47% (27/58) | 34% (21/62) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 68% (95/139) | 51% (40/79) |
| Crosses |
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| 13% (3/23) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Fouls |
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| 8 | 17 |
| Tackles |
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| 68% (13/19) | 62% (18/29) |
| Duels won |
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| 62 | 59 |
| Clearances |
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| 18 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
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| 18 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.22 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.22 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Matoug N. 🟨,
- 37', Dicke F. 🟨,
- 40', Dicke F. ↓, Coomans W. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kuipers M. ↓, Verheijen T. ↑,
- 51', Braken S. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
- 60', Van Dessel S. 🟨,
- 60', Triep J. ↓, Kromah L. ↑,
- 60', van Zijl B. ↓, van Oorschot D. ↑,
- 64', van Oorschot D. 🟨,
- 69', Ait Mouhou N. ↓, Wehmeyer L. ↑,
- 69', Odriss M. ↓, Foor N. ↑,
- 73', Silva Timas I. 🟨,
- 77', Camil Mmaee ↓, El Basri N. ↑,
- 78', Eijgenraam J. ↓, de Blok L. ↑,
- 78', Davis M. ↓, Mokono S. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 0, Mokono S. ⚽,
- 90+2', Van Dessel S. ↓, Asante D. ↑,
Chances of winning
VVV-Venlo 52.4% | Draw 24.9% | MVV Maastricht 22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)MVV Maastricht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
VVV-Venlo - MVV Maastricht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.82 ↑ (1.66) |
3.72 ↓ (4.4) |
4.17 ↓ (4.33) |
5.9% (6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for VVV-Venlo - MVV Maastricht?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Maastricht will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Venlo (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Venlo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 1.
- Venlo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Maastricht's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Venlo is a strong favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:12. (average 1.8:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Venlo won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:5. (average 1.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has VVV-Venlo won against MVV Maastricht?
VVV-Venlo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against VVV-Venlo?
MVV Maastricht has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between VVV-Venlo - MVV Maastricht were as follows:
09.02.2025
VVV-Venlo
-
MVV Maastricht
0:0
13.10.2024
MVV Maastricht
-
VVV-Venlo
2:0
10.05.2024
MVV Maastricht
-
VVV-Venlo
2:0
13.08.2023
VVV-Venlo
-
MVV Maastricht
1:3
03.03.2023
MVV Maastricht
-
VVV-Venlo
0:1
Latest results of VVV-Venlo
Latest results of MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 28 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 69:30 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 55:29 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 52:41 | 11 | 48 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 58:52 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Roda | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47:41 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Willem II | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Dordrecht | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Almere City | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 55:45 | 10 | 39 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 49:51 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Venlo | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Helmond | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 30 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 32:55 | -23 | 30 |
| 18 | Oss | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 27 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 41:45 | -4 | 24 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )