MVV Maastricht vs VVV-Venlo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

De Geusselt (Maastricht).

Eerste Divisie - Round 31
Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.59	1.95
Ball possession
51%	49%
Total shots
12	15
Shots on target
5	2
Big chances
1	3
Corner kicks
6	6
Passes
85% (383/451)	81% (353/435)
Yellow cards
2	3
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.59	1.95
xG on target (xGOT)
1.15	1.04
Total shots
12	15
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked shots
3	6
Shots inside the box
7	10
Shots outside the box
4	6
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
1	3
Corner kicks
6	6
Touches in opposition box
31	25
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
13	8
Passes
85% (383/451)	81% (353/435)
Long passes
62% (31/50)	47% (24/51)
Passes in final third
75% (93/124)	67% (102/153)
Crosses
21% (5/24)	32% (8/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.91	1.62
Throw ins
16	19
Fouls
8	13
Tackles
78% (18/23)	80% (20/25)
Duels won
55	58
Clearances
34	27
Interceptions
5	7
Errors leading to shot
0	2
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	3
xGOT faced
1.04	1.15
Goals prevented
0.04	-0.85

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Sy K. 🟨,
23', Coomans W. 🟨,
23', Kromah L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Saddiki D. ↓, Eijgenraam J. ↑,
47', de Blok L. 🟨,
54', Odriss M. 🟨,
55', Blancquart G. 🟥,
56', 1 - 0, Braken S. (Penalty Awarded),
60', van Oorschot D. ↓, van Zijl B. ↑,
60', Matoug N. ↓, Joosten T. ↑,
68', Silva Timas I. ↓, Verheijen T. ↑,
76', Jashari L. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
76', Klaasen R. ↓, El Basri N. ↑,
76', Odriss M. ↓, Vullers R. ↑,
76', Ait Mouhou N. ↓, Triep J. ↑,
84', Sy K. ↓, Francis S. ↑,
84', Zaian A. ↓, de Jong T. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, van Zijl B. ⚽, de Blok L. (A),
90+5', 2 - 1, Van Dessel S. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

MVV Maastricht
33.4%

Draw
24.3%

VVV-Venlo
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

24.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

23.3%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MVV Maastricht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with MVV Maastricht that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VVV-Venlo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

MVV Maastricht - VVV-Venlo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (3.22)	3.84 ↑ (3.81)	2.21 ↑ (2.01)	6.9% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - VVV-Venlo?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Maastricht will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Venlo will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maastricht: 4% – 71%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Maastricht (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maastricht (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Venlo could have a small edge in this match.
There are questionable in Maastricht: Jashari L. (Injury) Tehubijuluw D. (Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 12:32. (average 0.7:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.9:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against VVV-Venlo?

MVV Maastricht has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has VVV-Venlo won against MVV Maastricht?

VVV-Venlo has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - VVV-Venlo were as follows:

21.09.2025 VVV-Venlo - MVV Maastricht 1:0

09.02.2025 VVV-Venlo - MVV Maastricht 0:0

13.10.2024 MVV Maastricht - VVV-Venlo 2:0

10.05.2024 MVV Maastricht - VVV-Venlo 2:0

13.08.2023 VVV-Venlo - MVV Maastricht 1:3

Latest results of MVV Maastricht

06.03.2026 Dordrecht - MVV Maastricht 1:1 ✺

27.02.2026 MVV Maastricht - De Graafschap 3:3 ✺

22.02.2026 Roda - MVV Maastricht 2:0 ✺

13.02.2026 ADO Den Haag - MVV Maastricht 3:0 ✺

06.02.2026 MVV Maastricht - Jong PSV 2:1 ✺

Latest results of VVV-Venlo

06.03.2026 VVV-Venlo - Waalwijk 0:3 ✺

27.02.2026 ADO Den Haag - VVV-Venlo 1:0 ✺

20.02.2026 VVV-Venlo - FC Oss 1:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Vitesse - VVV-Venlo 2:2 ✺

07.02.2026 VVV-Venlo - FC Eindhoven 1:0 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag	38	29	2	7	90:37	53	89
2	Cambuur	38	23	9	6	75:48	27	78
3	Willem II	38	20	8	10	59:42	17	68
4	De Graafschap	38	18	9	11	74:58	16	63
5	Almere City	38	18	4	16	78:63	15	58
6	Waalwijk	38	16	10	12	71:59	12	58
7	Jong PSV	38	17	5	16	66:64	2	56
8	Roda	38	14	13	11	59:54	5	55
9	Den Bosch	38	14	9	15	65:69	-4	51
10	Dordrecht	38	12	11	15	48:56	-8	47
11	Eindhoven FC	38	14	5	19	51:69	-18	47
12	Jong Utrecht	38	12	10	16	58:62	-4	46
13	Venlo	38	13	6	19	50:58	-8	45
14	FC Emmen	38	12	9	17	58:72	-14	45
15	Vitesse	38	15	11	12	64:55	9	44
16	Oss	38	11	11	16	54:64	-10	44
17	Jong AZ	38	12	4	22	61:76	-15	40
18	Helmond	38	10	9	19	42:62	-20	39
19	Maastricht	38	9	11	18	41:73	-32	38
20	Jong Ajax	38	9	8	21	50:73	-23	35

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )