Result
2:2
01/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 25
- Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 China | K-Ball |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 India | Eurosport |
 Netherlands | Canal+ |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 0.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (499/567) | 76% (259/340) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (499/567) | 76% (259/340) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (41/62) | 56% (33/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (133/175) | 62% (42/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 0.33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 52 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 21 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.37 | -0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Parrott T. ⚽, Sadiq I. (A),
- 42', van der Venne R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 58', van der Venne R. ↓, Lokesa C. ↑,
- 58', Meijers A. ↓, Familia-Castillo J. ↑,
- 58', de Wit M. ↓, van Bommel R. ↑,
- 59', Sadiq I. ↓, Kasius D. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Kramer M. ⚽, Oukili Y. (A),
- 70', Dijkstra E. ↓, Belic K. ↑,
- 70', Goes W. ↓, Dekker M. ↑,
- 71', Koopmeiners P. ↓, Meerdink M. ↑,
- 71', Zawada O. ↓, Margaret R. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 2, Lokesa C. ⚽, Familia-Castillo J. (A),
- 84', 2 - 2, Meerdink M. ⚽, Wolfe D. M. (A),
- 85', van Eijma R. 🟨,
- 89', Lokesa C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AZ Alkmaar
77.2% | Draw
14.5% | Waalwijk
8.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AZ Alkmaar's performance.Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
AZ Alkmaar - Waalwijk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.24 ↓
(1.32) |
6.49 ↑
(5.34) |
11.49 ↑
(9.2) |
5%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Waalwijk?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 18 - 81.8%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 65.7% – 97.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches AZ won 4.
- Recent matches AZ is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Waalwijk is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recently AZ have a series of guest games.
- In this match AZ is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in AZ: Addai J.
(Ankle Injury)
Clasie J.
(Inactive)
Lahdo M.
(Foot Injury)
Mijnans S.
(Muscle Injury)
Westerveld S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Waalwijk: Al Mazyani F.
(Red Card)
Van den Buijs D.
(Injury)
Weidmann D.
(Injury)
van Osch Y.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in AZ: Maikuma S.
(Knock)
Schouten L.
(Injury)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches AZ won 12 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 41:17 (average 2.4:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams AZ won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22:8 (average 2.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Waalwijk?
AZ Alkmaar has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against AZ Alkmaar?
Waalwijk has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Waalwijk were as follows:
30.08.2024
Waalwijk
-
AZ Alkmaar
0:3
13.04.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Waalwijk
3:2
20.08.2023
Waalwijk
-
AZ Alkmaar
1:3
23.04.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
Waalwijk
3:0
06.11.2022
Waalwijk
-
AZ Alkmaar
3:1
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Latest results of Waalwijk
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
