Result
2:2
01/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 25
- Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
China | K-Ball |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
India | Eurosport |
Netherlands | Canal+ |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Russia | TV Start |
Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.24 | 0.84 |
Ball Possession |
---|
63% | 37% |
Total shots |
---|
23 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
12 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
88% (499/567) | 76% (259/340) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.24 | 0.84 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.16 | 1.63 |
Total shots |
---|
23 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
8 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
11 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
12 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
39 | 11 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
88% (499/567) | 76% (259/340) |
Long passes |
---|
66% (41/62) | 56% (33/59) |
Passes in final third |
---|
76% (133/175) | 62% (42/68) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (7/24) | 17% (2/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.61 | 0.33 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
44% (4/9) | 60% (12/20) |
Duels won |
---|
41 | 52 |
Clearances Total |
---|
21 | 42 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.63 | 1.16 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.37 | -0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Parrott T. ⚽, Sadiq I. (A),
- 42', van der Venne R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 58', van der Venne R. ↓, Lokesa C. ↑,
- 58', Meijers A. ↓, Familia-Castillo J. ↑,
- 58', de Wit M. ↓, van Bommel R. ↑,
- 59', Sadiq I. ↓, Kasius D. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Kramer M. ⚽, Oukili Y. (A),
- 70', Dijkstra E. ↓, Belic K. ↑,
- 70', Goes W. ↓, Dekker M. ↑,
- 71', Koopmeiners P. ↓, Meerdink M. ↑,
- 71', Zawada O. ↓, Margaret R. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 2, Lokesa C. ⚽, Familia-Castillo J. (A),
- 84', 2 - 2, Meerdink M. ⚽, Wolfe D. M. (A),
- 85', van Eijma R. 🟨,
- 89', Lokesa C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AZ Alkmaar 77.2% | Draw 14.5% | Waalwijk 8.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AZ Alkmaar's performance.Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
AZ Alkmaar - Waalwijk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.24 ↓ (1.32) |
6.49 ↑ (5.34) |
11.49 ↑ (9.2) |
5% (5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Waalwijk?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 18 - 81.8%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 65.7% – 97.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches AZ won 4.
- Recent matches AZ is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Waalwijk is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recently AZ have a series of guest games.
- In this match AZ is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in AZ: Addai J.
(Ankle Injury)
Clasie J.
(Inactive)
Lahdo M.
(Foot Injury)
Mijnans S.
(Muscle Injury)
Westerveld S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Waalwijk: Al Mazyani F.
(Red Card)
Van den Buijs D.
(Injury)
Weidmann D.
(Injury)
van Osch Y.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in AZ: Maikuma S.
(Knock)
Schouten L.
(Injury)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches AZ won 12 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 41:17 (average 2.4:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams AZ won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22:8 (average 2.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Waalwijk?
AZ Alkmaar has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against AZ Alkmaar?
Waalwijk has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Waalwijk were as follows:
30.08.2024
Waalwijk
-
AZ Alkmaar
0:3
13.04.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Waalwijk
3:2
20.08.2023
Waalwijk
-
AZ Alkmaar
1:3
23.04.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
Waalwijk
3:0
06.11.2022
Waalwijk
-
AZ Alkmaar
3:1
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Latest results of Waalwijk
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Telstar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Nijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Excelsior | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | G.A. Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie