AZ Alkmaar vs Waalwijk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar).

Eredivisie - Round 25
Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
China	K-Ball
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
India	Eurosport
Netherlands	Canal+
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	TV Start
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	Sport TV3

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.24	0.84
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
23	6
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
12	5
Passes
88% (499/567)	76% (259/340)
Yellow Cards
0	3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24	0.84
xG on target (xGOT)
1.16	1.63
Total shots
23	6
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
9	1
Blocked Shots
8	3
Shots inside the Box
12	5
Shots outside the Box
11	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
12	5
Touches in opposition box
39	11
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
10	10
Passes
88% (499/567)	76% (259/340)
Long passes
66% (41/62)	56% (33/59)
Passes in final third
76% (133/175)	62% (42/68)
Crosses
29% (7/24)	17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
2.61	0.33
Fouls
10	10
Tackles
44% (4/9)	60% (12/20)
Duels won
41	52
Clearances Total
21	42
Interceptions
5	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
0	4
xGOT faced
1.63	1.16
Goals prevented
-0.37	-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Parrott T. ⚽, Sadiq I. (A),
42', van der Venne R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', van der Venne R. ↓, Lokesa C. ↑,
58', Meijers A. ↓, Familia-Castillo J. ↑,
58', de Wit M. ↓, van Bommel R. ↑,
59', Sadiq I. ↓, Kasius D. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Kramer M. ⚽, Oukili Y. (A),
70', Dijkstra E. ↓, Belic K. ↑,
70', Goes W. ↓, Dekker M. ↑,
71', Koopmeiners P. ↓, Meerdink M. ↑,
71', Zawada O. ↓, Margaret R. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Lokesa C. ⚽, Familia-Castillo J. (A),
84', 2 - 2, Meerdink M. ⚽, Wolfe D. M. (A),
85', van Eijma R. 🟨,
89', Lokesa C. 🟨,

Chances of winning

AZ Alkmaar
77.2%

Draw
14.5%

Waalwijk
8.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.9%

17.8%

10.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.9%

17.3%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AZ Alkmaar's performance.

Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

AZ Alkmaar - Waalwijk Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.32)	6.49 ↑ (5.34)	11.49 ↑ (9.2)	5% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Waalwijk?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 18 - 81.8%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 65.7% – 97.9%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
Last 5 head-to-head matches AZ won 4.
Recent matches AZ is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Waalwijk is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently AZ have a series of guest games.
In this match AZ is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in AZ: Addai J. (Ankle Injury) Clasie J. (Inactive) Lahdo M. (Foot Injury) Mijnans S. (Muscle Injury) Westerveld S. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Waalwijk: Al Mazyani F. (Red Card) Van den Buijs D. (Injury) Weidmann D. (Injury) van Osch Y. (Injury)
There are questionable in AZ: Maikuma S. (Knock) Schouten L. (Injury)
Last 17 head-to-head matches AZ won 12 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 41:17 (average 2.4:1).
Including matches at home between the teams AZ won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22:8 (average 2.8:1).

How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Waalwijk?

AZ Alkmaar has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against AZ Alkmaar?

Waalwijk has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Waalwijk were as follows:

30.08.2024 Waalwijk - AZ Alkmaar 0:3

13.04.2024 AZ Alkmaar - Waalwijk 3:2

20.08.2023 Waalwijk - AZ Alkmaar 1:3

23.04.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Waalwijk 3:0

06.11.2022 Waalwijk - AZ Alkmaar 3:1

Latest results of AZ Alkmaar

29.03.2025 NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar 3:3 ✺

13.03.2025 Tottenham Hotspur - AZ Alkmaar 3:1 ✺

06.03.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Tottenham Hotspur 1:0 ✺

02.03.2025 Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar 3:1 ✺

27.02.2025 Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Waalwijk

29.03.2025 Zwolle - Waalwijk 2:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Waalwijk - PSV Eindhoven 0:3 ✺

28.02.2025 Waalwijk - Fortuna Sittard 1:2 ✺

16.02.2025 Twente - Waalwijk 2:0 ✺

09.02.2025 Waalwijk - NAC Breda 5:0 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sittard	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Telstar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	FC Volendam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Zwolle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	PSV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	NAC Breda	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Twente	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Heerenveen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Feyenoord	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Nijmegen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AZ Alkmaar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Sparta Rotterdam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Heracles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Excelsior	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	G.A. Eagles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Groningen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
      Eredivisie (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie