Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (233/315) | 65% (178/273) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (233/315) | 65% (178/273) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (24/61) | 42% (30/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (78/118) | 49% (46/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Mohamed H. ↓, Scholes A. ↑,
- 46', El Bahnasi I. ↓, Kaandorp M. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 0, Boli F. ⚽, Diasty M. (A),
- 53', Mayhoub A. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 1, Fekri S. ⚽, Reda S. (A),
- 65', El Ghandour K. ↓, Yehia A. ↑,
- 73', Diasty M. 🟨,
- 73', Dahroug A. ↓, Reda A. ↑,
- 74', Amadi S. ↓, Ashraf H. ↑,
- 74', Diasty M. ↓, Farouk A. ↑,
- 81', Amer A. 🟨,
- 86', Oya Y. ↓, Abdelrahim M. ↑,
- 87', Abdelrahim M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Fekri S. 🟨,
- 90+3', Fekri S. ↓, Mostafa M. ↑,
- 90+3', Badji P. ↓, Juhayna ↑,
- 90+4', Boli F. 🟨,
- 90+4', Reda S. 🟨,
- 90+4', Fawzi A. ↓, Mohamed K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Wadi Degla
49.2% | Draw
34.4% | Smouha
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wadi Degla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wadi Degla's performance.Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Smouha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wadi Degla than the current prediction. (-16.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wadi Degla that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+16.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Smouha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Wadi Degla - Smouha Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.84) |
2.99 ↑
(2.66) |
6.28 ↑
(2.87) |
-2.9%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Wadi Degla - Smouha?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Wadi Degla will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Smouha (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Smouha (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wadi Degla won 2.
- Wadi Degla has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Smouha's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Smouha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Wadi Degla won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:26. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wadi Degla won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Wadi Degla won against Smouha?
Wadi Degla has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Smouha won against Wadi Degla?
Smouha has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wadi Degla - Smouha were as follows:
Latest results of Wadi Degla
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek ✔ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Pyramids ✔ | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ahly ✔ | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29:16 | 13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:14 | 13 | 37 |
| 5 | Al Masry | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Smouha | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 28 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | ZED | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 26 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 25 |
| 10 | Petrojet | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Enppi | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 24 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 24 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Al Ittihad ✔ | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 20 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah ✔ | 19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors ✔ | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Haras El Hodood ✔ | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:26 | -12 | 17 |
| 18 | El Gaish ✔ | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 16 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia ✔ | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 16 |
| 20 | Pharco ✔ | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 14 |
| 21 | El Ismaily ✔ | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Zamalek is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Pyramids is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Ceramica Cleopatra is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ittihad is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Ghazl El Mahallah is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Arab Contractors is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Haras El Hodood is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Gaish is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Kahrabaa Ismailia is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Pharco is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Ismaily is Premier League (Relegation Group )
