Wadi Degla vs Smouha – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Egyptian Premier League Wadi Degla - Smouha
Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
egyptEgyptKora Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.361.01
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
74% (233/315)65% (178/273)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.361.01
xG on target (xGOT)
1.180.91
Total shots
107
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
10
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2421
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
618
Passes
74% (233/315)65% (178/273)
Long passes
39% (24/61)42% (30/72)
Passes in final third
66% (78/118)49% (46/94)
Crosses
17% (3/18)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.940.93
Throw-ins
3123
Fouls
186
Tackles
83% (5/6)55% (6/11)
Duels won
3043
Clearances
3921
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.911.18
Goals prevented
-0.090.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Mohamed H. , Scholes A. ,
  • 46', El Bahnasi I. , Kaandorp M. ,
  • 50', 1 - 0, Boli F. , Diasty M. (A),
  • 53', Mayhoub A. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Fekri S. , Reda S. (A),
  • 65', El Ghandour K. , Yehia A. ,
  • 73', Diasty M. 🟨,
  • 73', Dahroug A. , Reda A. ,
  • 74', Amadi S. , Ashraf H. ,
  • 74', Diasty M. , Farouk A. ,
  • 81', Amer A. 🟨,
  • 86', Oya Y. , Abdelrahim M. ,
  • 87', Abdelrahim M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Fekri S. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Fekri S. , Mostafa M. ,
  • 90+3', Badji P. , Juhayna ,
  • 90+4', Boli F. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Reda S. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Fawzi A. , Mohamed K. ,

Chances of winning


Wadi Degla
49.2%
Draw
34.4%
Smouha
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.7% 34.9% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 35% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wadi Degla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wadi Degla's performance.
  • Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Smouha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wadi Degla than the current prediction. (-16.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wadi Degla that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+16.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Smouha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Wadi Degla - Smouha Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.84)
    2.99
    (2.66)
    6.28
    (2.87)
    -2.9%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
  • What is the prediction for Wadi Degla - Smouha?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Wadi Degla will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wadi Degla won 2.
    • Wadi Degla has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Smouha's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Smouha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Wadi Degla won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:26. (average 0.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wadi Degla won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).
    Latest results of Wadi Degla
    Latest results of Smouha
    19.09.2025 Smouha - Haras El-Hodood 1:0
    31.08.2025 Smouha - Petrojet 0:0
    26.08.2025 Kahrabaa Ismailia - Smouha 1:2
    21.08.2025 Smouha - ZED 1:1
    Egyptian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zamalek952213:6717
    2Al Masry943217:11615
    3Al Ahly843113:9415
    4Wadi Degla943211:7415
    5Pyramids742111:4714
    6Enppi93518:5314
    7Ceramica Cleopatra84227:4314
    8Petrojet93518:8014
    9ZED93337:6112
    10Modern Sport933311:12-112
    11National Bank Egypt82517:4311
    12Smouha82516:5111
    13Haras El Hodood83237:7011
    14Ghazl El Mahallah91715:3210
    15El Gouna81616:609
    16El Gaish92343:10-79
    17Kahrabaa Ismailia82247:14-78
    18Pharco80533:8-55
    19Arab Contractors90542:7-55
    20Al Ittihad81253:10-75
    21El Ismaily91172:11-94

          Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
          Premier League (Relegation Group: )