Manawatu vs Waikato – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC Manawatu - Waikato
Result
36:26
05/09/2025 at 22:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bunnings NPC

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (22 - 12)
  • 2nd Half (14 - 14)

Chances of winning


Manawatu
32.9%
Draw
3.9%
Waikato
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.7% 4.2% 67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27% 4% 71.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manawatu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Waikato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manawatu than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manawatu that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waikato than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Waikato could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Manawatu - Waikato Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.92
    (3.2)
    24
    (22)
    1.41
    (1.37)
    9.5%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 57.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
    What is the prediction for Manawatu - Waikato?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Manawatu will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Waikato will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 27:31.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manawatu won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Waikato is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Manawatu won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 106:149. (average 17.7:24.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Manawatu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 45:47. (average 22.5:23.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manawatu - Waikato were as follows:
    26.08.2022 Waikato - Manawatu 53:6
    Latest results of Manawatu
    29.08.2025 Canterbury - Manawatu 53:14
    24.08.2025 Manawatu - Wellington 38:28
    15.08.2025 Southland - Manawatu 29:22
    09.08.2025 Tasman - Manawatu 49:17
    01.08.2025 Manawatu - North Harbour 38:25
    Latest results of Waikato
    31.08.2025 Waikato - Southland 10:25
    22.08.2025 Taranaki - Waikato 22:23
    17.08.2025 Waikato - Counties Manukau 27:26
    08.08.2025 Waikato - Wellington 24:35
    31.07.2025 Auckland - Waikato 35:36
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Canterbury (1)Counties Manukau (8)
    2Hawke's Bay (4)Taranaki (5)
    3Otago (2)Waikato (7)44 : 41
    4Bay of Plenty (3)Tasman (6)