Horowhenua-Kapiti vs Wairarapa Bush – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union Heartland Championships Horowhenua-Kapiti - Wairarapa Bush
Result
22:21
26/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Heartland Championships - Round 7

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Chances of winning


Horowhenua-Kapiti
42.2%
Draw
4.1%
Wairarapa Bush
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 4% 53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40% 3.8% 56.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Horowhenua-Kapiti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • The chances for Wairarapa Bush have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horowhenua-Kapiti than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wairarapa Bush than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Horowhenua-Kapiti - Wairarapa Bush Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.18)
    23.5
    (23)
    1.71
    (1.71)
    8.8%
    (8.8%)
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Horowhenua-Kapiti won 4.
    • Horowhenua-Kapiti has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Wairarapa Bush is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Horowhenua-Kapiti won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 242:172. (average 34.6:24.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Horowhenua-Kapiti won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 122:90. (average 30.5:22.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Horowhenua-Kapiti - Wairarapa Bush were as follows:
    13.09.2024 Wairarapa Bush - Horowhenua-Kapiti 45:62
    Latest results of Horowhenua-Kapiti
    Latest results of Wairarapa Bush
    19.09.2025 Wairarapa Bush - Buller 73:27
    13.09.2025 King Country - Wairarapa Bush 24:25
    05.09.2025 West Coast - Wairarapa Bush 14:24
    22.08.2025 North Otago - Wairarapa Bush 29:56
    Heartland Championships Table
    Main
    PlWDLPts
    1Mid Cant8800368:18640
    2South Cant8503297:23929
    3Thames Valley8503335:17229
    4Wairarapa8503290:22628
    5Whanganui8503258:22026
    6North Otago8503279:29026
    7Poverty Bay8404249:24725
    8Horowhenua8404242:22121
    9King Country8206259:23415
    10West Coast8404268:2038
    11Buller8107129:3787
    12East Coast8008112:4701

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