Walsall vs Chelsea U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0 penalties
28/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy
  • Referee: Swallow E. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.040.88
Ball Possession
24%76%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
31
Passes
74% (156/211)89% (632/709)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.040.88
xG on target (xGOT)
0.701.27
Total shots
128
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
1910
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1219
Passes
74% (156/211)89% (632/709)
Long passes
41% (21/51)58% (42/72)
Passes in final third
57% (55/96)73% (80/109)
Crosses
36% (5/14)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.850.52
Throw-ins
2418
Fouls
1912
Tackles
47% (8/17)42% (8/19)
Duels won
5159
Clearances
1621
Interceptions
105
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.270.70
Goals prevented
1.270.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Runham F. 🟨,
  • 45', Harper V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Harrison O. , Walsh R. ,
  • 61', Deivid Washington , Gordon S. ,
  • 62', Finnigan R. , Jellis J. ,
  • 62', Richards R. , Clarke C. ,
  • 63', Osagie J. 🟨,
  • 73', Runham F. , Da Silva I. B. P. ,
  • 74', Matt J. , Makavore P. ,
  • 74', Lakin C. , McLloyd O. ,
  • 74', Browne R. , Straw S. ,
  • 85', Richards L. , Sambou G. ,
  • 85', Barbour K. , Pennie A. ,
  • 90+7', Wilson K. 🟨,
  • Penalties (4 - 2)
  • 1, Adomah A. (Pen),
  • 1, Best K. (Pen),
  • 2, Clarke C. (Pen),
  • 2, Walsh R. (Pen),
  • 3, Straw S. (Pen),
  • 3, Pennie A. (Pen),
  • 4, Jellis J. (Pen),
  • 4, Sambou G. (Pen),
  • 5, Okeke J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Walsall
60.3%
Draw
21.2%
Chelsea U21
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 22.2% 19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2% 21% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Walsall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Chelsea U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea U21 than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Walsall - Chelsea U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.6)
    4.33
    (4.15)
    4.94
    (4.63)
    7.5%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Walsall - Chelsea U21?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Walsall (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Walsall has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Chelsea U21 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Walsall is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Walsall won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Walsall won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    Latest results of Walsall
    25.10.2025 Cheltenham Town - Walsall 1:0
    18.10.2025 Walsall - Barrow 1:2
    11.10.2025 Crawley Town - Walsall 1:1
    07.10.2025 Walsall - Northampton Town 0:1
    04.10.2025 Walsall - Bristol Rovers 2:1
    Latest results of Chelsea U21
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LincolnHuddersfield0 : 2
    2SalfordRotherham2 : 7
    3DoncasterChesterfield5 : 1
    4TranmereFleetwood0 : 3
    5BoltonBradford City3 : 0
    6Port ValeBarnsley5 : 0
    7CreweStockport County1 : 2
    8HarrogateBlackpool4 : 2
    9LutonExeter4 : 0
    10SwindonPeterborough1 : 0
    11Bristol RoversCambridge Utd3 : 2
    12Leyton OrientPlymouth0 : 1
    13CardiffAFC Wimbledon1 : 5
    14ColchesterWest Ham U210 : 1
    15NorthamptonWycombe2 : 0
    16StevenageWalsall1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1HuddersfieldRotherham3 : 0
    2DoncasterFleetwood3 : 1
    3BoltonPort Vale0 : 1
    4Stockport CountyHarrogate2 : 1
    5LutonSwindon1 : 2
    6Bristol RoversPlymouth3 : 4
    7AFC WimbledonWest Ham U214 : 2
    8NorthamptonWalsall4 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1HuddersfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    2Port ValeStockport County0 : 4
    3LutonPlymouth2 : 1
    4AFC WimbledonNorthampton1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1DoncasterStockport County
    2LutonNorthampton

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2