Hartlepool United vs Walsall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
25/02/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 34
  • Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Hartlepool United
24.4%
Draw
29.7%
Walsall
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.1% 30.1% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3% 29.9% 39.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hartlepool United's form might have worsened.
  • Walsall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Walsall's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hartlepool United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Walsall, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hartlepool United - Walsall Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.83
    (3.1)
    3.16
    (3.1)
    2.05
    (2.35)
    6.6%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Hartlepool United - Walsall?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Walsall will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Walsall: 26.7%80.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 and 13).
    • Hartlepool has the most likely position - 23 (48.91%), has project points - 38, has currently - 27, has a good chance of relegated (74%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
    • Walsall has the most likely position - 11 (9.93%), has project points - 65, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (16%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has very small quality 6, small importance 30, small match rating 18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Walsall will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-8.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hartlepool won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
    Latest results of Hartlepool United
    Latest results of Walsall
    21.02.2023 Walsall - Crewe Alexandra 0:0
    18.02.2023 Walsall - Newport County 1:1
    11.02.2023 Walsall - Leyton Orient 1:1
    04.02.2023 Northampton Town - Walsall 0:0
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One