Result
1:3
17/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 27
- Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.22 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (227/337) | 37% (69/186) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 2.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (227/337) | 37% (69/186) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (31/77) | 18% (14/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (69/132) | 36% (28/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 51 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.48 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.52 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 38', 0 - 1, Farquharson P. ⚽, Weir E. (A),
- 43', Barrett C. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 2, Kanu D. ⚽, Pattison A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 65', 0 - 3, Matt J. ⚽, Flint A. (A),
- 76', Matt J. ↓, Loupalo-Bi A. ↑,
- 76', Pattison A. ↓, Lakin C. ↑,
- 77', Bristow E. ↓, Brough P. ↑,
- 77', Jones D. ↓, Norman C. ↑,
- 77', Smallwood R. ↓, Dennis K. ↑,
- 78', Joseph J. ↓, Ironside J. ↑,
- 81', Finley S. 🟨,
- 87', Kanu D. ↓, Adomah A. ↑,
- 87', Weir E. ↓, Lopata K. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 3, Ironside J. ⚽, Jennings C. (A),
- 90+4', Lopata K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tranmere Rovers
31.9% | Draw
29.9% | Walsall
38.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+1%)
Tranmere Rovers - Walsall Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↑
(2.88) |
3.1 ↓
(3.19) |
2.44 ↑
(2.4) |
7.3%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Tranmere Rovers - Walsall?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Walsall will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tranmere: 4% – 71%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tranmere (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Walsall (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Walsall (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Walsall (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Walsall (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Walsall (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Tranmere (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Walsall (votes: 5 - 83.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 17 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 1.
- In recent matches, Tranmere has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Walsall's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Tranmere may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Tranmere: Lowe J.
(Inactive)
McGee L.
(Hip Injury)
O'Connor L.
(Inactive)
Patrick O.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Walsall: Roofe K.
(Inactive)
Williams H.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Tranmere: Turnbull J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 14:31. (average 0.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tranmere won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Tranmere Rovers won against Walsall?
Tranmere Rovers has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Walsall won against Tranmere Rovers?
Walsall has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tranmere Rovers - Walsall were as follows:
20.09.2025
Walsall
-
Tranmere Rovers
4:2
11.01.2025
Walsall
-
Tranmere Rovers
5:1
24.08.2024
Tranmere Rovers
-
Walsall
1:0
06.04.2024
Tranmere Rovers
-
Walsall
1:3
16.12.2023
Walsall
-
Tranmere Rovers
1:0
Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
Latest results of Walsall
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
