Waratahs vs Chiefs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union Super Rugby Waratahs - Chiefs
Result
21:14
11/04/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Rugby - Round 9
  • Referee: Mabey A. (Nzl)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Rugby
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaTSN+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
peruPeruDisney+
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Rugby
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app, Sky Go, Sky Sports Action
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Tries
32
Conversion Goals
32
Conversion Goal Attempts
32
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
100100
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
110155
Metres Run With Ball
514347
Yellow Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (14 - 7)
  • 19', Sua'ali'i J. (Try),
  • 20', Creighton L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 20', Parker S. , Boshier K. ,
  • 24', Reilly T. (Try),
  • 25', Creighton L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 30', Carter L. (Try),
  • 31', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 35', Wrampling G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (7 - 7)
  • 45', Wilson T. (Try),
  • 46', Creighton L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 46', Selby-Rickit M. , Ah Kuoi N. ,
  • 46', Wrampling G. , Rona D. ,
  • 46', Dyer G. , O’Neill R. ,
  • 50', Jacomb J. , Narawa E. ,
  • 52', Finau S. (Try),
  • 53', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 55', Botha D. , Tupou T. ,
  • 55', Foketi L. , O'Donnell H. ,
  • 55', Taukei'aho S. , Slater B. ,
  • 55', Norris O. , Proffit J. ,
  • 58', Dobbins E. , Heaven J. ,
  • 58', Gleeson L. , Talataina L. ,
  • 60', Wilson T. , Grant J. ,
  • 65', Grant B. , Amatosero M. ,
  • 67', Ratima C. , Roe X. ,
  • 67', Bell A. , Kailea I. ,
  • 67', Creighton L. , Bowen J. ,
  • 78', Amatosero M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Waratahs
20.6%
Draw
3.4%
Chiefs
76%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.9% 3.1% 71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4% 3% 72.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Waratahs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Waratahs's form might have worsened.
  • Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waratahs than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chiefs than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Waratahs - Chiefs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.46
    (3.58)
    27.5
    (29.5)
    1.22
    (1.31)
    7.8%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 61.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-13)
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Waratahs won 0.
    • Recent matches Waratahs is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Chiefs is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Waratahs could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Chiefs is a favorite.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Waratahs won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 235:370 (average 21.4:33.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Waratahs won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 102:178 (average 20.4:35.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Waratahs - Chiefs were as follows:
    26.04.2024 Waratahs - Chiefs 22:38
    24.03.2023 Waratahs - Chiefs 14:24
    Latest results of Waratahs
    04.04.2025 Moana Pasifika - Waratahs 45:28
    28.03.2025 Hurricanes - Waratahs 57:12
    22.03.2025 Waratahs - Brumbies 28:23
    15.03.2025 Reds - Waratahs 35:15
    08.03.2025 Waratahs - Western Force 34:10
    Latest results of Chiefs
    04.04.2025 Chiefs - Reds 27:15
    21.03.2025 Moana Pasifika - Chiefs 35:50
    15.03.2025 Chiefs - Blues 32:31
    07.03.2025 Fijian Drua - Chiefs 28:24
    28.02.2025 Chiefs - Brumbies 49:34
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Crusaders (2)Reds (5)32 : 12
    2Chiefs (1)Blues (6)19 : 20
    3Chiefs (1)Bye
    4Brumbies (3)Hurricanes (4)35 : 28

    Semi-finals
    1Crusaders (2)Blues (6)21 : 14
    2Chiefs (1)Brumbies (3)37 : 17

    Final
    1Crusaders (2)Chiefs (1)16 : 12