Result
45:28
04/04/2025 at 21:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Rugby - Round 8
- Referee: Doleman J. (Nzl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | TSN+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Sky Sports Action |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 71 | 100 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 100 | 122 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 400 | 495 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (7 - 21)
- 5', Reilly T. (Try),
- 6', Creighton L. (Conversion Goal),
- 15', Tuipulotu T. ↓, Pole A. ↑,
- 23', Reilly T. (Try),
- 24', Creighton L. (Conversion Goal),
- 32', Sae-Ta'ufo'ou F. (Try),
- 33', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
- 40+3', Kellaway A. (Try),
- 40+4', Creighton L. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (38 - 7)
- 41', Sanerivi M. ↓, Malolo S. ↑,
- 41', Alaimalo S. ↓, Inisi F. ↑,
- 44', Sae-Ta'ufo'ou F. (Try),
- 44', Tupou Ta'eiloa S. (Conversion Goal),
- 52', Sae-Ta'ufo'ou F. (Try),
- 53', Pellegrini P. (Missed Conversion),
- 53', Dobbins E. ↓, Heaven J. ↑,
- 53', Botha D. ↓, Tupou T. ↑,
- 54', Lalomilo L. ↓, Garden-Bachop J. ↑,
- 54', Sae-Ta'ufo'ou F. ↓, Apoua C. ↑,
- 54', Paea S. ↓, Tauelangi O. ↑,
- 58', Wilson T. (Try),
- 59', Creighton L. (Conversion Goal),
- 59', Craig A. ↓, Savage T. ↑,
- 60', Pellegrini P. (Try),
- 61', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
- 61', Bell A. ↓, Kailea I. ↑,
- 63', Gamble C. ↓, Adamson J. ↑,
- 65', Havili W. (Try),
- 66', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
- 66', O'Donnell H. ↓, Walton J. ↑,
- 67', Taumateine J. ↓, Matavao M. ↑,
- 68', Havili W. (Try),
- 69', Pellegrini P. (Missed Conversion),
- 69', Grant B. ↓, Kalapu F. ↑,
- 69', Wilson T. ↓, Grant J. ↑,
- 69', Creighton L. ↓, Bowen J. ↑,
- 77', Tupou Ta'eiloa S. (Try),
- 78', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Moana Pasifika
53.7% | Draw
4.2% | Waratahs
42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moana Pasifika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Waratahs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moana Pasifika than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moana Pasifika that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waratahs than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Waratahs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Moana Pasifika - Waratahs Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.86) |
22.3 ↓
(23) |
2.2 ↑
(2) |
8%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 66.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
What is the prediction for Moana Pasifika - Waratahs?
Users Predictions:
Waratahs will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 35:32.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Moana Pasifika could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Our prediction for today's Moana Pasifika to win the game is with odds 1.74.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Moana Pasifika won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 80:62 (average 26.7:20.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Moana Pasifika won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 47:38 (average 23.5:19).
How many head-to-head matches has Moana Pasifika won against Waratahs?
Moana Pasifika has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Waratahs won against Moana Pasifika?
Waratahs has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Moana Pasifika - Waratahs were as follows:
25.05.2024
Moana Pasifika
-
Waratahs
27:12
03.06.2023
Waratahs
-
Moana Pasifika
24:33
Latest results of Moana Pasifika
Latest results of Waratahs
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Reds (5) | 32 : 12 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Blues (6) | 19 : 20 |
| 3 | Chiefs (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | Brumbies (3) | Hurricanes (4) | 35 : 28 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Blues (6) | 21 : 14 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Brumbies (3) | 37 : 17 |
Final| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Chiefs (1) | 16 : 12 |
