Result
17:22 OT
24/05/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Rugby - Round 15
- Referee: Gardner A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | TSN+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 1 |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Sky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 20 | 60 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 143 | 153 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 396 | 443 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (17 - 14)
- 4', Lancaster D. (Try),
- 5', Edmed T. (Conversion Goal),
- 11', Tizzano C. (Try),
- 12', Donaldson B. (Missed Conversion),
- 19', Lancaster D. (Try),
- 20', Edmed T. (Conversion Goal),
- 33', Grealy M. (Try),
- 34', Donaldson B. (Missed Conversion),
- 38', Stewart H. (Try),
- 40', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 41', Paea F. ↓, Coxon R. ↑,
- 44', Gordon J. ↓, Wilson T. ↑,
- 45', Tupou T. 🟨,
- 46', Grealy M. ↓, Beale K. ↑,
- 46', Gleeson L. ↓, Botha D. ↑,
- 48', Bell A. ↓, Lambert T. ↑,
- 51', Dolly N. ↓, Paenga-Amosa B. ↑,
- 51', Foketi L. ↓, O'Donnell H. ↑,
- 74', Tauakipulu T. 🟨,
- 75', Bowen J. (Penalty Goal),
- 80', Beale K. (Missed Penalty),
- Extra Time (0 - 5)
- 83', Porecki D. ↓, Vailanu M. ↑,
- 86', Harford A. (Missed Penalty),
- 90', Bowen J. (Missed Penalty),
- 90', Lancaster D. (Try),
Chances of winning
Western Force
57.1% | Draw
4% | Waratahs
38.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Western Force has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Western Force's performance.Waratahs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Waratahs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Force than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waratahs than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Western Force - Waratahs Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.8) |
23.17 ↓
(24) |
2.38 ↑
(2.07) |
8.1%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 55.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
What is the prediction for Western Force - Waratahs?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Waratahs (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 30:26.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western Force won 1.
- Western Force is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Waratahs's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Western Force may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Western Force will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Western Force won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 354:452. (average 17.7:22.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Western Force won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 199:221. (average 19.9:22.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Western Force won against Waratahs?
Western Force has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Waratahs won against Western Force?
Waratahs has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Western Force - Waratahs were as follows:
08.03.2025
Waratahs
-
Western Force
34:10
18.05.2024
Western Force
-
Waratahs
27:7
15.04.2023
Waratahs
-
Western Force
36:16
Latest results of Western Force
Latest results of Waratahs
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Reds (5) | 32 : 12 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Blues (6) | 19 : 20 |
| 3 | Chiefs (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | Brumbies (3) | Hurricanes (4) | 35 : 28 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Blues (6) | 21 : 14 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Brumbies (3) | 37 : 17 |
Final| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Chiefs (1) | 16 : 12 |
